UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
Saturday, January 15, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightMISS
Calvin Kattar won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Kattar 24%76% Chikadze
STRONGMarket: 34% (-10.5% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -88(favors Chikadze)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Kattar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Chikadze)
HeavyweightHIT
Jake Collier won by Submission (R1)
Collier 56%44% Sherman
LEANMarket: 56% (-0.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +65(favors Collier)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Collier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sherman)
FlyweightHIT
Brandon Royval won by Decision - Split (R3)
Royval 57%43% Bontorin
LEANMarket: 60% (-3.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +142(favors Royval)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Royval)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Bontorin)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Katlyn Cerminara won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cerminara 67%33% Maia
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +140(favors Cerminara)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Cerminara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Cerminara)
LightweightHIT
Viacheslav Borshchev won by KO/TKO (R1)
Borshchev 60%40% Bush
LEANMarket: 65% (-4.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +85(favors Borshchev)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Bush)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Bush)
FeatherweightMISS
Bill Algeo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Algeo 38%62% Brito
LEANMarket: 41% (-3.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -25(favors Brito)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.2(favors Algeo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Algeo)
MiddleweightMISS
Jamie Pickett won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pickett 46%54% Holmes
TOSS-UPMarket: 40% (+6.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -88(favors Holmes)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Pickett)
WelterweightMISS
Court McGee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McGee 49%51% Brahimaj
TOSS-UPMarket: 48% (+1.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +35(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Brahimaj)
FeatherweightHIT
Brian Kelleher won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kelleher 88%12% Croom
STRONGMarket: 79% (+8.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +233(favors Kelleher)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Kelleher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Kelleher)
LightweightHIT
TJ Brown won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brown 68%32% Rosa
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -55(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Brown)