UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
Saturday, October 30, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Model Record: 12/14Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightMISS
Glover Teixeira won by Submission (R2)
Teixeira 30%70% Blachowicz
CONFIDENTMarket: 27% (+2.8% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -156(favors Blachowicz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Teixeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Teixeira)
BantamweightHIT
Petr Yan won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Yan 74%26% Sandhagen
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+7.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +69(favors Yan)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Yan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Yan)
LightweightHIT
Islam Makhachev won by Submission (R1)
Makhachev 71%29% Hooker
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +301(favors Makhachev)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Hooker)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Makhachev)
HeavyweightHIT
Alexander Volkov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Volkov 76%24% Tybura
STRONGMarket: 72% (+3.6% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +73(favors Volkov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Volkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Tybura)
WelterweightHIT
Khamzat Chimaev won by Submission (R1)
Chimaev 77%23% Jingliang
STRONGMarket: 83% (-6.1% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -319(favors Jingliang)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.6(favors Chimaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Chimaev)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Magomed Ankalaev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ankalaev 84%16% Oezdemir
STRONGMarket: 73% (+11.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +233(favors Ankalaev)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Oezdemir)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Ankalaev)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Amanda Ribas won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ribas 70%30% Jandiroba
CONFIDENTMarket: 60% (+10.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -81(favors Jandiroba)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Ribas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Jandiroba)
FeatherweightMISS
Zubaira Tukhugov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tukhugov 35%65% Ramos
CONFIDENTMarket: 60% (-25.8% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +40(favors Tukhugov)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Ramos)
MiddleweightHIT
Albert Duraev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Duraev 87%13% Kopylov
STRONGMarket: 78% (+9.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +74(favors Duraev)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Kopylov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kopylov)
WelterweightHIT
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 53%47% Denis
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +288(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Santos)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Michal Oleksiejczuk won by KO/TKO (R1)
Oleksiejczuk 54%46% Gamzatov
TOSS-UPMarket: 48% (+5.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +1(favors Oleksiejczuk)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Gamzatov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gamzatov)
FeatherweightHIT
Lerone Murphy won by KO/TKO (R2)
Murphy 70%30% Amirkhani
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (-2.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +245(favors Murphy)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Murphy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Amirkhani)
MiddleweightHIT
Andre Petroski won by Submission (R3)
Petroski 77%23% Yaozong
STRONGMarket: 67% (+10.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +413(favors Petroski)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Yaozong)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors Petroski)
FlyweightHIT
Tagir Ulanbekov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ulanbekov 84%16% Nascimento
STRONGMarket: 77% (+7.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +65(favors Ulanbekov)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Ulanbekov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.0(favors Ulanbekov)