UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
Saturday, June 26, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Ciryl Gane won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Gane 57%43% Volkov
LEANMarket: 61% (-3.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -115(favors Volkov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Gane)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Gane)
HeavyweightHIT
Tanner Boser won by KO/TKO (R2)
Boser 65%35% Preux
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -55(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Boser)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Preux)
BantamweightMISS
Timur Valiev won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Valiev 18%82% Barcelos
STRONGMarket: 34% (-16.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -339(favors Barcelos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Barcelos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Valiev)
Featherweight
Fili 66%34% Pineda
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (-1.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +161(favors Fili)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Fili)
WelterweightHIT
Tim Means won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Means 53%47% Dalby
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-2.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +22(favors Means)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Means)
LightweightHIT
Renato Moicano won by Submission (R2)
Moicano 76%24% Herbert
STRONGMarket: 68% (+7.3% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +144(favors Moicano)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Moicano)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Moicano)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Kennedy Nzechukwu won by KO/TKO (R3)
Nzechukwu 58%42% Marques
LEANMarket: 53% (+4.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -9(favors Marques)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Nzechukwu)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.8(favors Marques)
WelterweightHIT
Shavkat Rakhmonov won by Submission (R2)
Rakhmonov 74%26% Prazeres
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+3.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -133(favors Prazeres)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Rakhmonov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Prazeres)
WelterweightMISS
Jeremiah Wells won by KO/TKO (R2)
Wells 32%68% Alves
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (-0.9% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -314(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Alves)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Marcin Prachnio won by KO/TKO (R2)
Prachnio 72%28% Villanueva
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -5(favors Villanueva)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Prachnio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Villanueva)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Julia Avila won by Submission (R3)
Avila 68%32% Stoliarenko
CONFIDENTMarket: 75% (-7.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +145(favors Avila)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Avila)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Avila)
FeatherweightHIT
Charles Rosa won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rosa 57%43% Jaynes
LEANMarket: 61% (-4.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +216(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Jaynes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Rosa)
LightweightHIT
Damir Hadzovic won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hadzovic 67%33% Medeiros
CONFIDENTMarket: 57% (+10.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -48(favors Medeiros)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Medeiros)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Hadzovic)