UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Saturday, March 27, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Francis Ngannou won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ngannou 55%45% Miocic
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -149(favors Miocic)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Miocic)
WelterweightHIT
Vicente Luque won by Submission (R1)
Luque 65%35% Woodley
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +41(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Woodley)
BantamweightHIT
Sean O'Malley won by KO/TKO (R3)
O'Malley 72%28% Almeida
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +224(favors O'Malley)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors O'Malley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors O'Malley)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Miranda Maverick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maverick 60%40% Robertson
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -12(favors Robertson)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.5(favors Maverick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Robertson)
LightweightHIT
Jamie Mullarkey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mullarkey 55%45% Worthy
LEAN
→Elo gap: -285(favors Worthy)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Worthy)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Mullarkey)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Alonzo Menifield won by Submission (R1)
Menifield 48%52% Cherant
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +14(favors Menifield)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Menifield)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cherant)
WelterweightMISS
Abubakar Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nurmagomedov 48%52% Gooden
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -80(favors Gooden)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.3(favors Gooden)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Nurmagomedov)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Michal Oleksiejczuk won by Decision - Split (R3)
Oleksiejczuk 55%45% Bukauskas
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -34(favors Bukauskas)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Oleksiejczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Oleksiejczuk)
FeatherweightHIT
Omar Morales won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Morales 58%42% Young
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Morales)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Young)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Young)
MiddleweightMISS
Marc-Andre Barriault won by KO/TKO (R3)
Barriault 49%51% Azaitar
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -301(favors Azaitar)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Barriault)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Azaitar)