UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira
Saturday, November 7, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 9/10(90%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Glover Teixeira won by Submission (R3)
Teixeira 53%47% Santos
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +109(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Santos)
HeavyweightHIT
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arlovski 55%45% Boser
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -70(favors Boser)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Boser)
BantamweightHIT
Raoni Barcelos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barcelos 58%42% Taha
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +354(favors Barcelos)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Barcelos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Barcelos)
FeatherweightHIT
Giga Chikadze won by KO/TKO (R1)
Chikadze 66%34% Simmons
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +385(favors Chikadze)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Chikadze)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Chikadze)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Yan Xiaonan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Xiaonan 65%35% Gadelha
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -9(favors Gadelha)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Xiaonan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Gadelha)
MiddleweightHIT
Trevin Giles won by KO/TKO (R3)
Giles 68%32% Lewis
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +164(favors Giles)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Giles)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Giles)
Prelims
HeavyweightHIT
Alexandr Romanov won by Submission (R1)
Romanov 51%49% Lima
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Romanov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.1(favors Romanov)
FeatherweightHIT
Darren Elkins won by Submission (R3)
Elkins 50%50% Garagorri
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +274(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Elkins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Elkins)
WelterweightHIT
Max Griffin won by KO/TKO (R3)
Griffin 54%46% Brahimaj
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +89(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Griffin)
BantamweightMISS
Gustavo Lopez won by Submission (R1)
Lopez 42%58% Birchak
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -113(favors Birchak)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Birchak)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Birchak)