UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Saturday, October 3, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's BantamweightMISS
Holly Holm won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Holm 37%63% Aldana
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -57(favors Aldana)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Aldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Holm)
HeavyweightHIT
Carlos Felipe won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Felipe 65%35% Castro
LEAN
→Elo gap: -129(favors Castro)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Felipe)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Castro)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Germaine de Randamie won by Submission (R3)
Randamie 49%51% Pena
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +167(favors Randamie)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Randamie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Pena)
BantamweightHIT
Kyler Phillips won by KO/TKO (R2)
Phillips 78%22% Else
STRONG
→Elo gap: +72(favors Phillips)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Phillips)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Phillips)
MiddleweightHIT
Dusko Todorovic won by KO/TKO (R2)
Todorovic 62%38% Townsend
LEAN
→Elo gap: +243(favors Todorovic)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Townsend)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Townsend)
WelterweightMISS
Carlos Condit won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Condit 47%53% McGee
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +215(favors Condit)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors McGee)
Featherweight
Jourdain 60%40% Culibao
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +233(favors Jourdain)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Jourdain)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Culibao)
MiddleweightHIT
Nassourdine Imavov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Imavov 55%45% Williams
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Williams)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Williams)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Williams)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Loma Lookboonmee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lookboonmee 79%21% Frey
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +113(favors Lookboonmee)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Lookboonmee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Lookboonmee)
BantamweightHIT
Casey Kenney won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kenney 57%43% Alatengheili
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +48(favors Kenney)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Kenney)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Alatengheili)
LightweightHIT
Luigi Vendramini won by KO/TKO (R1)
Vendramini 51%49% Ayari
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +60(favors Vendramini)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Ayari)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ayari)