UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
Wednesday, July 15, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Model Record: 6/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightHIT
Calvin Kattar won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Kattar 52%48% Ige
TOSS-UPMarket: 72% (-19.3% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +20(favors Kattar)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Kattar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Ige)
FlyweightMISS
Tim Elliott won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elliott 36%64% Benoit
LEANMarket: 56% (-19.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -187(favors Benoit)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Elliott)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Elliott)
FeatherweightMISS
Jimmie Rivera won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rivera 26%74% Stamann
CONFIDENTMarket: 55% (-29.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -146(favors Stamann)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Stamann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Stamann)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Taila Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 59%41% McCann
LEANMarket: 42% (+16.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -214(favors McCann)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors McCann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors McCann)
WelterweightMISS
Mounir Lazzez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lazzez 27%73% Alhassan
CONFIDENTMarket: 26% (+1.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -363(favors Alhassan)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Alhassan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Alhassan)
MiddleweightHIT
Khamzat Chimaev won by Submission (R2)
Chimaev 79%21% Phillips
STRONGMarket: 76% (+3.4% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +49(favors Chimaev)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Phillips)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Phillips)
FeatherweightMISS
Lerone Murphy won by KO/TKO (R1)
Murphy 40%60% Ramos
LEANMarket: 40% (-0.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -217(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Ramos)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Modestas Bukauskas won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bukauskas 61%39% Michailidis
LEANMarket: 61% (-0.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Michailidis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Michailidis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Michailidis)
FeatherweightMISS
Jared Gordon won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gordon 46%54% Fishgold
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-12.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +42(favors Gordon)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Gordon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Fishgold)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Liana Jojua won by Submission (R1)
Jojua 55%45% Belbita
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+17.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -120(favors Belbita)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.0(favors Belbita)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Jojua)
BantamweightHIT
Jack Shore won by Submission (R2)
Shore 90%10% Phillips
STRONGMarket: 86% (+4.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +297(favors Shore)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Shore)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Shore)