UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
Saturday, June 20, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Curtis Blaydes won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Blaydes 87%13% Volkov
STRONGMarket: 77% (+10.8% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +243(favors Blaydes)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Volkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Blaydes)
FeatherweightHIT
Josh Emmett won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Emmett 58%42% Burgos
LEANMarket: 37% (+21.7% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +144(favors Emmett)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Burgos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Emmett)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Raquel Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pennington 83%17% Reneau
STRONGMarket: 69% (+14.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +91(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Reneau)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Pennington)
WelterweightHIT
Belal Muhammad won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Muhammad 67%33% Good
CONFIDENTMarket: 52% (+14.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +63(favors Muhammad)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Good)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Muhammad)
Catch WeightMISS
Jim Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 33%67% Roberts
CONFIDENTMarket: 32% (+1.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Miller)
LightweightHIT
King Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 75%25% Guida
STRONGMarket: 71% (+4.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +4(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Guida)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Tecia Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pennington 30%70% Fortino
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -134(favors Fortino)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Fortino)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Fortino)
Middleweight
Barriault 54%46% Piechota
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-0.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +124(favors Barriault)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Barriault)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Piechota)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Gillian Robertson won by Submission (R3)
Robertson 61%39% Casey
LEANMarket: 51% (+10.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -4(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Casey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Robertson)
LightweightMISS
Justin Jaynes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jaynes 26%74% Camacho
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (-2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +1(favors Jaynes)
→Striking volume advantage: -8.0(favors Camacho)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Camacho)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Lauren Murphy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Murphy 64%36% Modafferi
LEANMarket: 53% (+11.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Murphy)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Murphy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Modafferi)
LightweightMISS
Austin Hubbard won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hubbard 42%58% Rohskopf
LEANMarket: 37% (+4.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -30(favors Rohskopf)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Hubbard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Hubbard)