UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo
Saturday, June 13, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 8/10(80%)
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Main Card
Women's FlyweightMISS
Cynthia Calvillo won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Calvillo 49%51% Eye
Over/UnderOver 71%
Under 29%Over 71%
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-6.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +63(favors Calvillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Calvillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Calvillo)
MiddleweightHIT
Marvin Vettori won by Submission (R1)
Vettori 69%31% Roberson
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+3.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +14(favors Vettori)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Vettori)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Vettori)
LightweightHIT
Charles Rosa won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rosa 53%47% Aguilar
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+13.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +137(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Aguilar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Rosa)
FeatherweightHIT
Andre Fili won by Decision - Split (R3)
Fili 61%39% Jourdain
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 67% (-5.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +17(favors Fili)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Jourdain)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Fili)
BantamweightHIT
Jordan Espinosa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Espinosa 61%39% Rosa
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +175(favors Espinosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Rosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Espinosa)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Mariya Agapova won by Submission (R1)
Agapova 87%13% Cifers
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
STRONGMarket: 75% (+11.5% edge)
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +233(favors Agapova)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.7(favors Cifers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Cifers)
Prelims
Catch WeightHIT
Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dvalishvili 91%9% Lopez
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONGMarket: 86% (+5.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +265(favors Dvalishvili)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Dvalishvili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.8(favors Dvalishvili)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Julia Avila won by KO/TKO (R1)
Avila 84%16% Mazany
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
STRONGMarket: 83% (+0.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +257(favors Avila)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Avila)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Mazany)
BantamweightHIT
Tyson Nam won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nam 55%45% Adashev
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-1.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -131(favors Adashev)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Nam)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Adashev)
WelterweightMISS
Christian Aguilera won by KO/TKO (R1)
Aguilera 36%64% Ivy
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 35% (+1.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ivy)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ivy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ivy)