UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Saturday, June 6, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Amanda Nunes won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Nunes 89%11% Spencer
STRONGMarket: 82% (+6.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +535(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Spencer)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Nunes)
BantamweightMISS
Cody Garbrandt won by KO/TKO (R2)
Garbrandt 47%53% Assuncao
TOSS-UPMarket: 59% (-11.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Assuncao)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Garbrandt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Assuncao)
BantamweightHIT
Aljamain Sterling won by Submission (R1)
Sterling 55%45% Sandhagen
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (+3.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +70(favors Sterling)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Sterling)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Sterling)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 61%39% Martin
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +4(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Magny)
BantamweightHIT
Sean O'Malley won by KO/TKO (R1)
O'Malley 90%10% Wineland
STRONGMarket: 82% (+8.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +55(favors O'Malley)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors O'Malley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors O'Malley)
FeatherweightMISS
Alex Caceres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Caceres 19%81% Hooper
STRONGMarket: 34% (-15.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -71(favors Hooper)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Hooper)
MiddleweightHIT
Ian Heinisch won by KO/TKO (R1)
Heinisch 64%36% Meerschaert
LEANMarket: 56% (+7.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -24(favors Meerschaert)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Heinisch)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Meerschaert)
FeatherweightHIT
Cody Stamann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stamann 69%31% Kelleher
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+2.3% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +60(favors Stamann)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Kelleher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Stamann)
MiddleweightMISS
Maki Pitolo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pitolo 50%50% Byrd
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+12.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +24(favors Pitolo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Byrd)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Byrd)
FlyweightHIT
Alex Perez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perez 64%36% Formiga
LEANMarket: 56% (+7.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +11(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Perez)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Devin Clark won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Clark 39%61% Menifield
LEANMarket: 31% (+7.9% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -160(favors Menifield)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Menifield)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Clark)
Catch WeightHIT
Herbert Burns won by Submission (R1)
Burns 76%24% Dunham
STRONGMarket: 70% (+6.4% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -4(favors Dunham)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Burns)