UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Saturday, March 7, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 10/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Israel Adesanya won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Adesanya 82%18% Romero
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +262(favors Adesanya)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Adesanya)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Romero)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Zhang Weili won by Decision - Split (R5)
Weili 69%31% Jedrzejczyk
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +118(favors Weili)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Weili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Weili)
LightweightHIT
Beneil Dariush won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dariush 66%34% Klose
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +12(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Dariush)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Dariush)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 51%49% Jingliang
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -62(favors Jingliang)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Jingliang)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Magny)
WelterweightHIT
Alex Oliveira won by Decision - Split (R3)
Oliveira 50%50% Griffin
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +32(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Griffin)
BantamweightMISS
Sean O'Malley won by KO/TKO (R1)
O'Malley 35%65% Quinonez
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Quinonez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors O'Malley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Quinonez)
LightweightHIT
Mark Madsen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Madsen 55%45% Hubbard
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +27(favors Madsen)
→Striking volume advantage: +15.2(favors Madsen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +11.0(favors Madsen)
MiddleweightHIT
Rodolfo Vieira won by Submission (R1)
Vieira 72%28% Safarov
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +150(favors Vieira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Safarov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Vieira)
MiddleweightHIT
Gerald Meerschaert won by Submission (R3)
Meerschaert 58%42% Winn
LEAN
→Elo gap: +151(favors Meerschaert)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Winn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Winn)
FeatherweightHIT
Giga Chikadze won by Decision - Split (R3)
Chikadze 56%44% Emmers
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Chikadze)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Chikadze)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Chikadze)
BantamweightHIT
Batgerel Danaa won by KO/TKO (R1)
Danaa 62%38% Cannetti
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -53(favors Cannetti)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Danaa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Cannetti)