UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Saturday, January 25, 2020·Raleigh, North Carolina, USA
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Curtis Blaydes won by KO/TKO (R2)
Blaydes 64%36% Santos
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -65(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.6(favors Blaydes)
WelterweightMISS
Michael Chiesa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Chiesa 44%56% Anjos
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -137(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Chiesa)
FlyweightHIT
Alex Perez won by Submission (R1)
Perez 69%31% Espinosa
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (-1.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +239(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Perez)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Angela Hill won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hill 64%36% Cifers
LEANMarket: 66% (-2.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +43(favors Hill)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Hill)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jamahal Hill won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hill 58%42% Stosic
LEANMarket: 55% (+3.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +126(favors Hill)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Stosic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Stosic)
MiddleweightHIT
Bevon Lewis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lewis 84%16% Townsend
STRONGMarket: 78% (+6.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +14(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Lewis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Townsend)
FeatherweightHIT
Arnold Allen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Allen 77%23% Lentz
STRONGMarket: 69% (+7.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +68(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Lentz)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Justine Kish won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kish 45%55% Pudilova
LEANMarket: 39% (+6.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Kish)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Kish)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Kish)
BantamweightHIT
Montel Jackson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jackson 85%15% Colares
STRONGMarket: 84% (+0.4% edge)
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +197(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Jackson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Colares)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Sara McMann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McMann 55%45% Lansberg
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-0.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -103(favors Lansberg)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Lansberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors McMann)
BantamweightHIT
Brett Johns won by Submission (R3)
Johns 52%48% Gravely
TOSS-UPMarket: 53% (-1.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +131(favors Johns)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Johns)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Johns)
FeatherweightMISS
Herbert Burns won by KO/TKO (R1)
Burns 40%60% Landwehr
LEANMarket: 48% (-8.3% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Landwehr)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Landwehr)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Landwehr)