UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Saturday, November 16, 2019·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Model Record: 11/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jan Blachowicz won by Decision - Split (R5)
Blachowicz 72%28% Souza
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -88(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Souza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Blachowicz)
Light Heavyweight
Rua 64%36% Craig
LEANMarket: 68% (-3.9% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +337(favors Rua)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Rua)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Craig)
LightweightHIT
Charles Oliveira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Oliveira 86%14% Gordon
STRONGMarket: 79% (+6.7% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +567(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Gordon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Gordon)
MiddleweightHIT
Andre Muniz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Muniz 61%39% Arroyo
LEANMarket: 54% (+7.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Arroyo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Arroyo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Arroyo)
MiddleweightHIT
Wellington Turman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Turman 62%38% Perez
LEANMarket: 54% (+7.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -105(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Turman)
WelterweightHIT
James Krause won by KO/TKO (R3)
Krause 64%36% Moraes
LEANMarket: 64% (+0.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +279(favors Krause)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Krause)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Krause)
FeatherweightHIT
Ricardo Ramos won by Submission (R1)
Ramos 62%38% Garagorri
LEAN
→Elo gap: +84(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Garagorri)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Ramos)
LightweightHIT
Francisco Trinaldo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Trinaldo 61%39% Green
LEANMarket: 56% (+4.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +189(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Trinaldo)
WelterweightHIT
Randy Brown won by Submission (R2)
Brown 54%46% Alves
TOSS-UPMarket: 45% (+9.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -98(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Brown)
FeatherweightHIT
Douglas Silva de Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 56%44% Barao
LEANMarket: 69% (-13.6% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +191(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Barao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Barao)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Ariane da Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 53%47% Padua
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -134(favors Padua)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Silva)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Tracy Cortez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cortez 69%31% Melo
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+2.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +68(favors Cortez)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Melo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Melo)