UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Saturday, November 16, 2019·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil·12 fights
Model: 11/11(100%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jan Blachowicz won by Decision - Split (R5)
Blachowicz 72%28% Souza
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -180(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Souza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Blachowicz)
Light Heavyweight
Rua 63%37% Craig
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
LEANMarket: 68% (-4.9% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +395(favors Rua)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Rua)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Craig)
LightweightHIT
Charles Oliveira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Oliveira 85%15% Gordon
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
STRONGMarket: 79% (+6.0% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +586(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Gordon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Gordon)
MiddleweightHIT
Andre Muniz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Muniz 59%41% Arroyo
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEANMarket: 54% (+5.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Arroyo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Arroyo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Arroyo)
MiddleweightHIT
Wellington Turman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Turman 63%37% Perez
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 54% (+8.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -146(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Turman)
WelterweightHIT
James Krause won by KO/TKO (R3)
Krause 57%43% Moraes
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 64% (-6.5% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +182(favors Krause)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Krause)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Krause)
Prelims
FeatherweightHIT
Ricardo Ramos won by Submission (R1)
Ramos 59%41% Garagorri
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +82(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Garagorri)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Ramos)
LightweightHIT
Francisco Trinaldo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Trinaldo 61%39% Green
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 56% (+5.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +186(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Trinaldo)
WelterweightHIT
Randy Brown won by Submission (R2)
Brown 56%44% Alves
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
LEANMarket: 45% (+10.5% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -110(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Brown)
FeatherweightHIT
Douglas Silva de Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 60%40% Barao
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 69% (-8.8% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +92(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Barao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Barao)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Ariane da Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 53%47% Padua
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -160(favors Padua)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Silva)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Tracy Cortez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cortez 73%27% Melo
Over/UnderOver 66%
Under 34%Over 66%
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+5.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +83(favors Cortez)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Melo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Melo)