UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Saturday, October 5, 2019·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Model Record: 6/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Israel Adesanya won by KO/TKO (R2)
Adesanya 64%36% Whittaker
LEANMarket: 53% (+11.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -265(favors Whittaker)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Whittaker)
LightweightHIT
Dan Hooker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hooker 66%34% Iaquinta
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -97(favors Iaquinta)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Hooker)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Hooker)
HeavyweightMISS
Serghei Spivac won by Submission (R2)
Spivac 37%63% Tuivasa
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -185(favors Tuivasa)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Tuivasa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tuivasa)
WelterweightHIT
Dhiego Lima won by Decision - Split (R3)
Lima 66%34% Jumeau
CONFIDENTMarket: 56% (+9.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -48(favors Jumeau)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Jumeau)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Jumeau)
HeavyweightMISS
Yorgan De Castro won by KO/TKO (R1)
Castro 40%60% Tafa
LEANMarket: 49% (-9.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Tafa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Tafa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tafa)
WelterweightHIT
Jake Matthews won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Matthews 85%15% Akman
STRONGMarket: 80% (+5.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +315(favors Matthews)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Akman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Matthews)
WelterweightMISS
Callan Potter won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Potter 31%69% Pitolo
CONFIDENTMarket: 24% (+7.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -134(favors Pitolo)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Potter)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pitolo)
LightweightMISS
Brad Riddell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Riddell 45%55% Mullarkey
LEANMarket: 61% (-15.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Mullarkey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Mullarkey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Mullarkey)
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Megan Anderson won by Submission (R1)
Anderson 55%45% Fairn
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Fairn)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Anderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Fairn)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Ji Yeon Kim won by KO/TKO (R2)
Kim 62%38% Kassem
LEANMarket: 62% (-0.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -46(favors Kassem)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Kim)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kassem)
Bantamweight
Taha 37%63% Silva
LEAN
→Elo gap: -380(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Taha)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)