UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
Saturday, August 17, 2019·Anaheim, California, USA
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Stipe Miocic won by KO/TKO (R4)
Miocic 63%37% Cormier
LEANMarket: 42% (+20.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -256(favors Cormier)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Miocic)
WelterweightHIT
Nate Diaz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Diaz 51%49% Pettis
TOSS-UPMarket: 47% (+3.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -31(favors Pettis)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Pettis)
MiddleweightMISS
Paulo Costa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Costa 44%56% Romero
LEANMarket: 41% (+2.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -322(favors Romero)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.8(favors Costa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Romero)
FeatherweightHIT
Sodiq Yusuff won by KO/TKO (R1)
Yusuff 77%23% Benitez
STRONGMarket: 71% (+5.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Benitez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Yusuff)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Benitez)
MiddleweightHIT
Derek Brunson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brunson 56%44% Heinisch
LEANMarket: 41% (+14.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +91(favors Brunson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Heinisch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Brunson)
LightweightMISS
Khama Worthy won by KO/TKO (R1)
Worthy 21%79% Smith
STRONGMarket: 11% (+9.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -209(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.9(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Smith)
BantamweightHIT
Cory Sandhagen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sandhagen 72%28% Assuncao
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+3.1% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -1(favors Assuncao)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.4(favors Sandhagen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Sandhagen)
LightweightHIT
Drakkar Klose won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Klose 62%38% Giagos
LEANMarket: 63% (-1.2% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +144(favors Klose)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Klose)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Giagos)
Catch WeightMISS
Casey Kenney won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kenney 46%54% Bermudez
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+6.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -83(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Kenney)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Bermudez)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Hannah Cifers won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cifers 80%20% Esquibel
STRONGMarket: 72% (+7.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +224(favors Cifers)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Cifers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Esquibel)
BantamweightHIT
Kyung Ho Kang won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kang 59%41% Davis
LEANMarket: 64% (-5.3% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +105(favors Kang)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Kang)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Sabina Mazo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mazo 79%21% Dobson
STRONGMarket: 55% (+23.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -117(favors Dobson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Dobson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Dobson)