UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Saturday, July 13, 2019·Sacramento, California, USA
Model Record: 6/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's BantamweightHIT
Germaine de Randamie won by KO/TKO (R1)
Randamie 60%40% Ladd
LEANMarket: 46% (+14.1% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +58(favors Randamie)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Ladd)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Ladd)
BantamweightMISS
Urijah Faber won by KO/TKO (R1)
Faber 31%69% Simon
CONFIDENTMarket: 25% (+6.1% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +23(favors Faber)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Faber)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Simon)
FeatherweightMISS
Josh Emmett won by KO/TKO (R1)
Emmett 48%52% Bektic
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+9.1% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +26(favors Emmett)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Bektic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Bektic)
MiddleweightHIT
Karl Roberson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Roberson 63%37% Turman
LEANMarket: 65% (-2.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +63(favors Roberson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Roberson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Roberson)
MiddleweightHIT
Marvin Vettori won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vettori 66%34% Ferreira
CONFIDENTMarket: 64% (+2.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -114(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Vettori)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Ferreira)
Light Heavyweight
Rodriguez 83%17% Allan
STRONGMarket: 79% (+4.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -105(favors Allan)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Allan)
FeatherweightHIT
Andre Fili won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fili 61%39% Moraes
LEAN
→Elo gap: +209(favors Fili)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Fili)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Julianna Pena won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pena 74%26% Montano
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+7.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +109(favors Pena)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Montano)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Pena)
FeatherweightHIT
Ryan Hall won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hall 63%37% Elkins
LEANMarket: 49% (+13.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Elkins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Elkins)
BantamweightMISS
Jonathan Martinez won by KO/TKO (R3)
Martinez 37%63% Liu
LEANMarket: 38% (-0.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -151(favors Liu)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Martinez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Martinez)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Brianna Fortino won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fortino 32%68% Souza
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -126(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Souza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.6(favors Souza)
BantamweightMISS
Benito Lopez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lopez 49%51% Morales
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -63(favors Morales)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Lopez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Morales)