UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee
Saturday, May 18, 2019·Rochester, New York, USA·13 fights
Model: 6/13(46%)
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Main Card
WelterweightMISS
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Submission (R4)
Anjos 47%53% Lee
Over/UnderOver 66%
Under 34%Over 66%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +6(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Lee)
MiddleweightMISS
Ian Heinisch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Heinisch 42%58% Junior
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEANMarket: 39% (+2.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -280(favors Junior)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Heinisch)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Junior)
Women's FeatherweightMISS
Felicia Spencer won by Submission (R1)
Spencer 24%76% Anderson
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONGMarket: 34% (-10.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -276(favors Anderson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Anderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Anderson)
WelterweightHIT
Vicente Luque won by KO/TKO (R1)
Luque 90%10% Krantz
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
STRONGMarket: 89% (+0.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +615(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.4(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Luque)
LightweightHIT
Charles Oliveira won by KO/TKO (R2)
Oliveira 90%10% Lentz
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+12.7% edge)
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +156(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Oliveira)
LightweightHIT
Davi Ramos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ramos 85%15% Hubbard
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONGMarket: 82% (+3.5% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +447(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Ramos)
Prelims
Women's BantamweightHIT
Aspen Ladd won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ladd 76%24% Eubanks
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 71% (+4.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Ladd)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Ladd)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Eubanks)
LightweightHIT
Desmond Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 87%13% Jourdain
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
STRONGMarket: 87% (-0.1% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +279(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Green)
WelterweightMISS
Michel Pereira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pereira 26%74% Roberts
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENTMarket: 31% (-4.3% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -153(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Roberts)
FeatherweightMISS
Grant Dawson won by Submission (R2)
Dawson 44%56% Trizano
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -178(favors Trizano)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Dawson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Dawson)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Ed Herman won by KO/TKO (R1)
Herman 30%70% Cummins
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
CONFIDENTMarket: 31% (-1.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Herman)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Cummins)
MiddleweightMISS
Zak Cummings won by Submission (R3)
Cummings 40%60% Giles
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
LEANMarket: 37% (+2.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +7(favors Cummings)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Giles)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Giles)
FeatherweightHIT
Julio Arce won by KO/TKO (R3)
Arce 87%13% Erosa
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 86% (+0.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +366(favors Arce)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Arce)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Erosa)