UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Saturday, December 1, 2018·Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightMISS
Junior Dos Santos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Santos 50%50% Tuivasa
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +245(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Tuivasa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Santos)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Mauricio Rua won by KO/TKO (R3)
Rua 25%75% Pedro
CONFIDENTMarket: 19% (+6.8% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +156(favors Rua)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Rua)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Rua)
HeavyweightHIT
Justin Willis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Willis 72%28% Hunt
CONFIDENTMarket: 53% (+19.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -59(favors Hunt)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Willis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Willis)
WelterweightHIT
Anthony Rocco Martin won by Submission (R3)
Martin 53%47% Matthews
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +81(favors Martin)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Martin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Matthews)
FeatherweightHIT
Sodiq Yusuff won by KO/TKO (R1)
Yusuff 88%12% Mokhtarian
STRONGMarket: 83% (+5.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Mokhtarian)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Mokhtarian)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Mokhtarian)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jimmy Crute won by Submission (R3)
Crute 58%42% Craig
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -22(favors Craig)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Craig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Craig)
WelterweightMISS
Aleksei Kunchenko won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kunchenko 47%53% Okami
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -48(favors Okami)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Kunchenko)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Okami)
FlyweightMISS
Wilson Reis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Reis 48%52% Nguyen
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+4.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -68(favors Nguyen)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Nguyen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors Reis)
WelterweightHIT
Keita Nakamura won by Decision - Split (R3)
Nakamura 58%42% Touahri
LEANMarket: 61% (-2.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +91(favors Nakamura)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Touahri)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Nakamura)
FlyweightHIT
Kai Kara-France won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kara-France 86%14% Garcia
STRONGMarket: 77% (+9.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +148(favors Kara-France)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Garcia)
LightweightHIT
Christos Giagos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Giagos 84%16% Hirota
STRONGMarket: 76% (+8.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +113(favors Giagos)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Hirota)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Hirota)
LightweightHIT
Damir Ismagulov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ismagulov 83%17% Gorgees
STRONGMarket: 82% (+0.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gorgees)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gorgees)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gorgees)