UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till
Sunday, May 27, 2018·Liverpool, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Darren Till won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Till 56%44% Thompson
LEANMarket: 42% (+14.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -279(favors Thompson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Thompson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Till)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by KO/TKO (R1)
Magny 85%15% White
STRONGMarket: 85% (+0.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +477(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Magny)
FeatherweightHIT
Arnold Allen won by Submission (R3)
Allen 73%27% Burnell
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+4.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +201(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Allen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Allen)
FeatherweightMISS
Makwan Amirkhani won by Decision - Split (R3)
Amirkhani 49%51% Knight
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+10.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +14(favors Amirkhani)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Knight)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Amirkhani)
WelterweightMISS
Claudio Silva won by Submission (R1)
Silva 28%72% Taleb
CONFIDENTMarket: 21% (+6.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -182(favors Taleb)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Taleb)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Silva)
MiddleweightHIT
Darren Stewart won by KO/TKO (R2)
Stewart 50%50% Spicely
TOSS-UPMarket: 40% (+10.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -166(favors Spicely)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Stewart)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Stewart)
MiddleweightHIT
Tom Breese won by KO/TKO (R1)
Breese 82%18% Kelly
STRONGMarket: 77% (+5.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +76(favors Breese)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Breese)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Kelly)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Lina Lansberg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lansberg 39%61% Mazany
LEANMarket: 41% (-2.0% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -156(favors Mazany)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Lansberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.1(favors Mazany)
WelterweightHIT
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. won by Decision - Split (R3)
Jr. 55%45% Scott
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-3.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +59(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Scott)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Scott)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Gillian Robertson won by Submission (R2)
Robertson 45%55% McCann
LEANMarket: 39% (+5.2% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +111(favors Robertson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Robertson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.8(favors Robertson)
MiddleweightHIT
Elias Theodorou won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Theodorou 87%13% Smith
STRONGMarket: 77% (+9.5% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +162(favors Theodorou)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Theodorou)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Smith)