UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Saturday, May 19, 2018·Santiago, Chile
Model Record: 10/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Kamaru Usman won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Usman 90%10% Maia
STRONGMarket: 82% (+8.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -13(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Usman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Usman)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Tatiana Suarez won by Submission (R1)
Suarez 79%21% Grasso
STRONGMarket: 83% (-3.5% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Suarez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Suarez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.3(favors Suarez)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Dominick Reyes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Reyes 68%32% Cannonier
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (-0.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +102(favors Reyes)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Reyes)
BantamweightHIT
Guido Cannetti won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cannetti 53%47% Rivas
TOSS-UPMarket: 40% (+12.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -157(favors Rivas)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Cannetti)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Cannetti)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Andrea Lee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lee 61%39% Hardy
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +131(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Hardy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hardy)
WelterweightHIT
Vicente Luque won by KO/TKO (R1)
Luque 75%25% Laprise
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+7.5% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +84(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Laprise)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Luque)
WelterweightHIT
Michel Prazeres won by Decision - Split (R3)
Prazeres 72%28% Cummings
CONFIDENTMarket: 37% (+34.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +47(favors Prazeres)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cummings)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Prazeres)
FlyweightMISS
Alexandre Pantoja won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pantoja 43%57% Moreno
LEANMarket: 51% (-7.8% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -104(favors Moreno)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Pantoja)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Moreno)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Poliana Botelho won by KO/TKO (R1)
Botelho 44%56% Kondo
LEANMarket: 62% (-18.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +18(favors Botelho)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Kondo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Botelho)
FeatherweightMISS
Gabriel Benitez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Benitez 45%55% Bandenay
TOSS-UPMarket: 61% (-16.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -28(favors Bandenay)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.0(favors Bandenay)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bandenay)
FeatherweightHIT
Enrique Barzola won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barzola 74%26% Davis
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+6.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +181(favors Barzola)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.9(favors Barzola)
BantamweightHIT
Frankie Saenz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Saenz 69%31% Briones
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +148(favors Saenz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Saenz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Saenz)
LightweightHIT
Claudio Puelles won by Submission (R3)
Puelles 53%47% Silva
TOSS-UPMarket: 25% (+27.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -170(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Puelles)