UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
Saturday, April 7, 2018·Brooklyn, New York, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Khabib Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Nurmagomedov 93%7% Iaquinta
STRONGMarket: 85% (+8.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +189(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Iaquinta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Nurmagomedov)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Rose Namajunas won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Namajunas 59%41% Jedrzejczyk
LEANMarket: 48% (+11.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +197(favors Namajunas)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Namajunas)
FeatherweightHIT
Renato Moicano won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moicano 58%42% Kattar
LEANMarket: 49% (+8.3% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -118(favors Kattar)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Kattar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Moicano)
FeatherweightHIT
Zabit Magomedsharipov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magomedsharipov 86%14% Bochniak
STRONGMarket: 85% (+0.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +130(favors Magomedsharipov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Magomedsharipov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.3(favors Magomedsharipov)
LightweightHIT
Chris Gruetzemacher won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gruetzemacher 56%44% Lauzon
LEANMarket: 42% (+13.9% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -123(favors Lauzon)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Gruetzemacher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Lauzon)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Karolina Kowalkiewicz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kowalkiewicz 53%47% Herrig
TOSS-UPMarket: 64% (-10.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -140(favors Herrig)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Kowalkiewicz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Herrig)
LightweightHIT
Olivier Aubin-Mercier won by KO/TKO (R1)
Aubin-Mercier 65%35% Dunham
LEANMarket: 44% (+20.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -49(favors Dunham)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.3(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Aubin-Mercier)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Ashlee Evans-Smith won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Evans-Smith 68%32% Rawlings
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+2.0% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +28(favors Evans-Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Evans-Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Evans-Smith)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Devin Clark won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Clark 47%53% Rodriguez
TOSS-UPMarket: 48% (-1.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Clark)