UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Saturday, February 3, 2018·Belem, Para, Brazil
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightMISS
Lyoto Machida won by Decision - Split (R5)
Machida 44%56% Anders
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +82(favors Machida)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Anders)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Anders)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Valentina Shevchenko won by Submission (R2)
Shevchenko 71%29% Cachoeira
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +277(favors Shevchenko)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Shevchenko)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Shevchenko)
LightweightHIT
Michel Prazeres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Prazeres 60%40% Green
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +236(favors Prazeres)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Prazeres)
HeavyweightMISS
Timothy Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 46%54% Golm
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -125(favors Golm)
→Striking volume advantage: -13.5(favors Golm)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.8(favors Golm)
BantamweightMISS
Douglas Silva de Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 48%52% Vera
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -154(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Andrade)
MiddleweightHIT
Thiago Santos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Santos 61%39% Smith
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +119(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Santos)
WelterweightHIT
Sergio Moraes won by Decision - Split (R3)
Moraes 54%46% Means
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +65(favors Moraes)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Means)
LightweightHIT
Alan Patrick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Patrick 66%34% Hadzovic
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +180(favors Patrick)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Patrick)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Patrick)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Polyana Viana won by Submission (R1)
Viana 66%34% Stevenson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -0(favors Stevenson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Stevenson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stevenson)
BantamweightMISS
Iuri Alcantara won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alcantara 38%62% Soto
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -68(favors Soto)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Soto)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Soto)
FlyweightHIT
Deiveson Figueiredo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Figueiredo 51%49% Morales
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +92(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Morales)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Figueiredo)