UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Saturday, January 27, 2018·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Jacare Souza won by KO/TKO (R1)
Souza 60%40% Brunson
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -11(favors Brunson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Brunson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Souza)
FeatherweightHIT
Andre Fili won by Decision - Split (R3)
Fili 51%49% Bermudez
TOSS-UPMarket: 40% (+11.0% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -25(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Bermudez)
LightweightHIT
Gregor Gillespie won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gillespie 90%10% Rinaldi
STRONGMarket: 80% (+9.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +177(favors Gillespie)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Gillespie)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.2(favors Gillespie)
WelterweightHIT
Drew Dober won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dober 67%33% Camacho
CONFIDENTMarket: 60% (+7.1% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +65(favors Dober)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Camacho)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Dober)
LightweightHIT
King Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 52%48% Koch
TOSS-UPMarket: 62% (-10.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +164(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Koch)
FeatherweightHIT
Mirsad Bektic won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bektic 88%12% Pepey
STRONGMarket: 82% (+5.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Bektic)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Bektic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Bektic)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Katlyn Cerminara won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cerminara 51%49% Borella
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -67(favors Borella)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Cerminara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.2(favors Borella)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Randa Markos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Markos 54%46% Lima
TOSS-UPMarket: 59% (-5.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -52(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Markos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Lima)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Ji Yeon Kim won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kim 49%51% Kish
TOSS-UPMarket: 33% (+16.2% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -169(favors Kish)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Kim)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Kish)
LightweightMISS
Vinc Pichel won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pichel 42%58% Silva
LEANMarket: 47% (-4.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -21(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Pichel)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.7(favors Pichel)
WelterweightHIT
Niko Price won by Submission (R2)
Price 79%21% Sullivan
STRONGMarket: 75% (+4.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +151(favors Price)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Sullivan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Sullivan)
FeatherweightHIT
Cory Sandhagen won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sandhagen 56%44% Arnett
LEANMarket: 57% (-0.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Arnett)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Arnett)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Arnett)