UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Saturday, January 27, 2018·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA·12 fights
Model: 9/12(75%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightMISS
Jacare Souza won by KO/TKO (R1)
Souza 47%53% Brunson
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +21(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Brunson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Souza)
FeatherweightMISS
Andre Fili won by Decision - Split (R3)
Fili 40%60% Bermudez
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 40% (+0.9% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -107(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Bermudez)
LightweightHIT
Gregor Gillespie won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gillespie 89%11% Rinaldi
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONGMarket: 80% (+8.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +247(favors Gillespie)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Gillespie)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.2(favors Gillespie)
WelterweightHIT
Drew Dober won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dober 75%25% Camacho
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
STRONGMarket: 60% (+15.2% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +88(favors Dober)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Camacho)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Dober)
LightweightHIT
King Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 53%47% Koch
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UPMarket: 62% (-8.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +238(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Koch)
FeatherweightHIT
Mirsad Bektic won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bektic 90%10% Pepey
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 82% (+7.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +145(favors Bektic)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Bektic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Bektic)
Prelims
Women's FlyweightMISS
Katlyn Cerminara won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cerminara 45%55% Borella
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -126(favors Borella)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Cerminara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.2(favors Borella)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Randa Markos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Markos 60%40% Lima
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEANMarket: 59% (+0.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -28(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Markos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Lima)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Ji Yeon Kim won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kim 50%50% Kish
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UPMarket: 33% (+17.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -263(favors Kish)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Kim)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Kish)
LightweightHIT
Vinc Pichel won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pichel 60%40% Silva
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEANMarket: 47% (+13.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Pichel)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.7(favors Pichel)
WelterweightHIT
Niko Price won by Submission (R2)
Price 79%21% Sullivan
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONGMarket: 75% (+4.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +158(favors Price)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Sullivan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Sullivan)
FeatherweightHIT
Cory Sandhagen won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sandhagen 54%46% Arnett
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UPMarket: 57% (-2.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Arnett)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Arnett)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Arnett)