UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Saturday, December 30, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Cristiane Justino won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Justino 67%33% Holm
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +67(favors Justino)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.1(favors Justino)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Justino)
LightweightHIT
Khabib Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nurmagomedov 71%29% Barboza
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +23(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.4(favors Nurmagomedov)
LightweightMISS
Dan Hooker won by Submission (R3)
Hooker 41%59% Diakiese
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Diakiese)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Hooker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Diakiese)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Carla Esparza won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Esparza 57%43% Calvillo
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -113(favors Calvillo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Calvillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Esparza)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 63%37% Condit
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -79(favors Condit)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Condit)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Magny)
Light Heavyweight
Jr. 52%48% Oleksiejczuk
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +238(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Jr.)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Oleksiejczuk)
FeatherweightHIT
Myles Jury won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jury 68%32% Glenn
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +218(favors Jury)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Glenn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Jury)
Middleweight
Vettori 64%36% Akhmedov
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Akhmedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Vettori)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Akhmedov)
FlyweightHIT
Matheus Nicolau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nicolau 61%39% Smolka
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +231(favors Nicolau)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Smolka)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Nicolau)
BantamweightHIT
Tim Elliott won by Submission (R2)
Elliott 54%46% Rosa
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -37(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Elliott)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.0(favors Elliott)