UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Saturday, May 13, 2017·Dallas, Texas, USA·12 fights
Model: 10/11(91%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✓
Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Stipe Miocic won by KO/TKO (R1)
Miocic 65%35% Santos
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +323(favors Miocic)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Miocic)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jedrzejczyk 68%32% Andrade
Over/UnderOver 69%
Under 31%Over 69%
CONFIDENTMarket: 64% (+4.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +266(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Andrade)
WelterweightHIT
Demian Maia won by Decision - Split (R3)
Maia 67%33% Masvidal
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
CONFIDENTMarket: 47% (+19.9% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +160(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Masvidal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Maia)
FeatherweightHIT
Frankie Edgar won by KO/TKO (R2)
Edgar 51%49% Rodriguez
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UPMarket: 54% (-3.5% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +201(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Edgar)
MiddleweightMISS
David Branch won by Decision - Split (R3)
Branch 48%52% Jotko
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
TOSS-UPMarket: 41% (+6.8% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -295(favors Jotko)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Jotko)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Branch)
Prelims
Lightweight
Alvarez 37%63% Poirier
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEANMarket: 47% (-9.7% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -245(favors Poirier)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Poirier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Poirier)
FeatherweightHIT
Jason Knight won by KO/TKO (R3)
Knight 63%37% Skelly
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 49% (+14.6% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -107(favors Skelly)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Knight)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Knight)
HeavyweightHIT
Chase Sherman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sherman 63%37% Coulter
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
LEANMarket: 51% (+12.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -304(favors Coulter)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Sherman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Coulter)
LightweightHIT
James Vick won by KO/TKO (R1)
Vick 92%8% Reyes
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
STRONGMarket: 78% (+14.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +199(favors Vick)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Vick)
Early Prelims
Women's StrawweightHIT
Cortney Casey won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Casey 67%33% Aguilar
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENTMarket: 58% (+8.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +214(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Aguilar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Casey)
FeatherweightHIT
Enrique Barzola won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barzola 52%48% Benitez
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+8.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -103(favors Benitez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Benitez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Barzola)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Gadzhimurad Antigulov won by Submission (R1)
Antigulov 76%24% Christensen
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
STRONGMarket: 78% (-1.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +122(favors Antigulov)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Christensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +13.4(favors Antigulov)