UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
Saturday, March 18, 2017·London, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jimi Manuwa won by KO/TKO (R1)
Manuwa 50%50% Anderson
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-6.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +163(favors Manuwa)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Anderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.4(favors Anderson)
WelterweightHIT
Gunnar Nelson won by Submission (R2)
Nelson 82%18% Jouban
STRONGMarket: 74% (+7.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +110(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Jouban)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Nelson)
Catch WeightHIT
Marlon Vera won by KO/TKO (R3)
Vera 67%33% Pickett
CONFIDENTMarket: 44% (+23.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +137(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Pickett)
FeatherweightMISS
Arnold Allen won by Decision - Split (R3)
Allen 45%55% Amirkhani
LEANMarket: 44% (+1.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -119(favors Amirkhani)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Amirkhani)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Amirkhani)
LightweightHIT
Joe Duffy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Duffy 61%39% Madadi
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +34(favors Duffy)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Duffy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Madadi)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Francimar Barroso won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barroso 31%69% Stewart
CONFIDENTMarket: 37% (-6.6% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +73(favors Barroso)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Stewart)
→Takedown rate advantage: -7.9(favors Stewart)
HeavyweightHIT
Timothy Johnson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Johnson 69%31% Omielanczuk
CONFIDENTMarket: 63% (+5.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -116(favors Omielanczuk)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Omielanczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Johnson)
WelterweightMISS
Leon Edwards won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Edwards 48%52% Luque
TOSS-UPMarket: 45% (+2.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -61(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Luque)
LightweightHIT
Marc Diakiese won by KO/TKO (R1)
Diakiese 74%26% Packalen
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+8.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +109(favors Diakiese)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Packalen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Diakiese)
MiddleweightHIT
Brad Scott won by Decision - Split (R3)
Scott 62%38% Askham
LEANMarket: 42% (+19.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +4(favors Scott)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Scott)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Scott)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Lina Lansberg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lansberg 69%31% Pudilova
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-4.8% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -84(favors Pudilova)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Lansberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pudilova)