UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson
Saturday, March 18, 2017·London, England, United Kingdom·11 fights
Model: 8/11(73%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✗✓✓✓
Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jimi Manuwa won by KO/TKO (R1)
Manuwa 57%43% Anderson
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEANMarket: 56% (+1.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +202(favors Manuwa)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Anderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.4(favors Anderson)
WelterweightHIT
Gunnar Nelson won by Submission (R2)
Nelson 80%20% Jouban
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+5.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +140(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Jouban)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Nelson)
Catch WeightHIT
Marlon Vera won by KO/TKO (R3)
Vera 65%35% Pickett
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEANMarket: 44% (+21.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +89(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Pickett)
FeatherweightMISS
Arnold Allen won by Decision - Split (R3)
Allen 39%61% Amirkhani
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEANMarket: 44% (-4.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -223(favors Amirkhani)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Amirkhani)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Amirkhani)
LightweightHIT
Joe Duffy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Duffy 64%36% Madadi
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +119(favors Duffy)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Duffy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Madadi)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Francimar Barroso won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barroso 37%63% Stewart
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEANMarket: 37% (-0.6% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +126(favors Barroso)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Stewart)
→Takedown rate advantage: -7.9(favors Stewart)
Prelims
HeavyweightHIT
Timothy Johnson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Johnson 65%35% Omielanczuk
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENTMarket: 63% (+2.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -210(favors Omielanczuk)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Omielanczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Johnson)
WelterweightMISS
Leon Edwards won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Edwards 49%51% Luque
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UPMarket: 45% (+4.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -115(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Luque)
LightweightHIT
Marc Diakiese won by KO/TKO (R1)
Diakiese 76%24% Packalen
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
STRONGMarket: 66% (+10.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +157(favors Diakiese)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Packalen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Diakiese)
MiddleweightHIT
Brad Scott won by Decision - Split (R3)
Scott 63%37% Askham
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEANMarket: 42% (+20.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -2(favors Askham)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Scott)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Scott)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Lina Lansberg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lansberg 74%26% Pudilova
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (+0.0% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -100(favors Pudilova)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Lansberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pudilova)