UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
Saturday, February 11, 2017·Brooklyn, New York, USA
Model Record: 8/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Germaine de Randamie won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Randamie 64%36% Holm
LEANMarket: 54% (+10.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +49(favors Randamie)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Randamie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Holm)
MiddleweightMISS
Anderson Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 42%58% Brunson
LEANMarket: 42% (+0.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +18(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Brunson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Brunson)
MiddleweightHIT
Jacare Souza won by Submission (R1)
Souza 77%23% Boetsch
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +356(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Boetsch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Souza)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Glover Teixeira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Teixeira 59%41% Cannonier
LEANMarket: 67% (-7.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +448(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Cannonier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Teixeira)
LightweightHIT
Dustin Poirier won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Poirier 89%11% Miller
STRONGMarket: 78% (+10.3% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -42(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Poirier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Poirier)
WelterweightMISS
Belal Muhammad won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Muhammad 44%56% Brown
LEANMarket: 45% (-0.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -170(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Muhammad)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Muhammad)
FlyweightHIT
Wilson Reis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Reis 86%14% Sasaki
STRONGMarket: 84% (+2.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +239(favors Reis)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Reis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Reis)
LightweightHIT
Islam Makhachev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Makhachev 79%21% Lentz
STRONGMarket: 74% (+5.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -118(favors Lentz)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Makhachev)
FeatherweightHIT
Ricky Glenn won by Decision - Split (R3)
Glenn 56%44% Nover
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +174(favors Glenn)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Glenn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Nover)
WelterweightHIT
Ryan LaFlare won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
LaFlare 72%28% Carneiro
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-2.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +173(favors LaFlare)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors LaFlare)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors LaFlare)