UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Friday, December 30, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's BantamweightHIT
Amanda Nunes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nunes 81%19% Rousey
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +113(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Rousey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Rousey)
BantamweightHIT
Cody Garbrandt won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Garbrandt 54%46% Cruz
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -117(favors Cruz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Garbrandt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Cruz)
BantamweightMISS
TJ Dillashaw won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dillashaw 47%53% Lineker
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +44(favors Dillashaw)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Dillashaw)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Dillashaw)
WelterweightHIT
Dong Hyun Kim won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kim 51%49% Saffiedine
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +215(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Saffiedine)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Kim)
FlyweightHIT
Ray Borg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Borg 55%45% Smolka
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -89(favors Smolka)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Smolka)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Borg)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 72%28% Hendricks
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -21(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Hendricks)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Hendricks)
MiddleweightHIT
Antonio Carlos Junior won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Junior 56%44% Vettori
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Junior)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Vettori)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Junior)
WelterweightHIT
Alex Garcia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Garcia 59%41% Pyle
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +4(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Pyle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Garcia)
WelterweightHIT
Niko Price won by Submission (R1)
Price 55%45% Thatch
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +41(favors Price)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Thatch)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Thatch)
Welterweight
Oliveira 67%33% Means
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +61(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Oliveira)