UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Friday, December 9, 2016·Albany, New York, USA·12 fights
Model: 11/12(92%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Derrick Lewis won by KO/TKO (R4)
Lewis 73%27% Abdurakhimov
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+5.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +286(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Abdurakhimov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Abdurakhimov)
HeavyweightHIT
Francis Ngannou won by Submission (R1)
Ngannou 91%9% Hamilton
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
STRONGMarket: 80% (+10.3% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +272(favors Ngannou)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Hamilton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Hamilton)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Corey Anderson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Anderson 91%9% O'Connell
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
STRONGMarket: 78% (+12.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +274(favors Anderson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors O'Connell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Anderson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Gian Villante won by KO/TKO (R2)
Villante 55%45% Safarov
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +121(favors Villante)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Villante)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Villante)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Justine Kish won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kish 60%40% Yoder
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEANMarket: 67% (-7.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +69(favors Kish)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Kish)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Kish)
WelterweightHIT
Randy Brown won by KO/TKO (R2)
Brown 56%44% Camozzi
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEANMarket: 59% (-3.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +192(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Brown)
Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Gerald Meerschaert won by Submission (R1)
Meerschaert 63%37% Gigliotti
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
LEANMarket: 66% (-2.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +71(favors Meerschaert)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Gigliotti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Gigliotti)
MiddleweightHIT
Andrew Sanchez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sanchez 74%26% Smith
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+9.0% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -86(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Sanchez)
FeatherweightHIT
Shane Burgos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Burgos 55%45% Silva
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +10(favors Burgos)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Silva)
LightweightHIT
Marc Diakiese won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Diakiese 87%13% Perez
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 71% (+15.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -16(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Diakiese)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Diakiese)
MiddleweightHIT
Ryan Janes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Janes 72%28% Berish
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+3.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Berish)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Berish)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Berish)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Juliana Lima won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lima 41%59% Aldrich
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -22(favors Aldrich)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Lima)