UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Friday, December 9, 2016·Albany, New York, USA
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Derrick Lewis won by KO/TKO (R4)
Lewis 69%31% Abdurakhimov
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+1.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +289(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Abdurakhimov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Abdurakhimov)
HeavyweightHIT
Francis Ngannou won by Submission (R1)
Ngannou 90%10% Hamilton
STRONGMarket: 80% (+9.7% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +215(favors Ngannou)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Hamilton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Hamilton)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Corey Anderson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Anderson 91%9% O'Connell
STRONGMarket: 78% (+12.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +296(favors Anderson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors O'Connell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Anderson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Gian Villante won by KO/TKO (R2)
Villante 53%47% Safarov
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +96(favors Villante)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Villante)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Villante)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Justine Kish won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kish 47%53% Yoder
TOSS-UPMarket: 67% (-19.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +60(favors Kish)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Kish)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Kish)
WelterweightHIT
Randy Brown won by KO/TKO (R2)
Brown 63%37% Camozzi
LEANMarket: 59% (+4.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +112(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Brown)
MiddleweightHIT
Gerald Meerschaert won by Submission (R1)
Meerschaert 66%34% Gigliotti
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+0.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +64(favors Meerschaert)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Gigliotti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Gigliotti)
MiddleweightHIT
Andrew Sanchez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sanchez 69%31% Smith
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+4.5% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -67(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Sanchez)
FeatherweightHIT
Shane Burgos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Burgos 58%42% Silva
LEAN
→Elo gap: +6(favors Burgos)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Silva)
LightweightHIT
Marc Diakiese won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Diakiese 82%18% Perez
STRONGMarket: 71% (+10.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +64(favors Diakiese)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Diakiese)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Diakiese)
MiddleweightHIT
Ryan Janes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Janes 67%33% Berish
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (-1.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Berish)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Berish)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Berish)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Juliana Lima won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lima 39%61% Aldrich
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -9(favors Aldrich)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Lima)