UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson
Saturday, November 26, 2016·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Model Record: 7/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Robert Whittaker won by KO/TKO (R1)
Whittaker 56%44% Brunson
LEANMarket: 44% (+12.3% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Brunson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Brunson)
LightweightMISS
Andrew Holbrook won by Decision - Split (R3)
Holbrook 22%78% Matthews
STRONGMarket: 20% (+2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -195(favors Matthews)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Matthews)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Matthews)
WelterweightHIT
Omari Akhmedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Akhmedov 69%31% Noke
CONFIDENTMarket: 58% (+10.9% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Noke)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Noke)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Akhmedov)
LightweightMISS
Alexander Volkanovski won by KO/TKO (R2)
Volkanovski 47%53% Kasuya
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +63(favors Volkanovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Kasuya)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Kasuya)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Tyson Pedro won by Submission (R1)
Pedro 58%42% Jr.
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Pedro)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Jr.)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jr.)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Danielle Taylor won by Decision - Split (R3)
Taylor 53%47% Ham
TOSS-UPMarket: 47% (+6.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +38(favors Taylor)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Ham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Taylor)
MiddleweightMISS
Daniel Kelly won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kelly 22%78% Camozzi
STRONGMarket: 33% (-10.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +97(favors Kelly)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Kelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Kelly)
LightweightMISS
Damien Brown won by Decision - Split (R3)
Brown 49%51% Tuck
TOSS-UPMarket: 45% (+3.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -4(favors Tuck)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Tuck)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Brown)
WelterweightMISS
Jonathan Meunier won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Meunier 48%52% Walsh
TOSS-UPMarket: 48% (-0.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +22(favors Meunier)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Walsh)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Walsh)
FlyweightHIT
Ben Nguyen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nguyen 53%47% Herrera
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (+0.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +72(favors Nguyen)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Nguyen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Herrera)
FeatherweightHIT
Jason Knight won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Knight 52%48% Hooker
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -95(favors Hooker)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Hooker)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Knight)
FeatherweightMISS
Marlon Vera won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vera 49%51% Ning
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -218(favors Ning)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Ning)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Ning)
FlyweightHIT
Jenel Lausa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lausa 53%47% Zhikui
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +76(favors Lausa)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Zhikui)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Zhikui)