UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
Saturday, November 19, 2016·Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom
Model Record: 9/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Gegard Mousasi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mousasi 76%24% Hall
STRONG
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +368(favors Mousasi)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Mousasi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Mousasi)
LightweightHIT
Stevie Ray won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ray 66%34% Pearson
CONFIDENTMarket: 50% (+15.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +104(favors Ray)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Pearson)
HeavyweightMISS
Alexander Volkov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Volkov 47%53% Johnson
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+4.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -125(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Johnson)
FeatherweightMISS
Artem Lobov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lobov 22%78% Ishihara
STRONGMarket: 31% (-8.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -251(favors Ishihara)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Ishihara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ishihara)
MiddleweightMISS
Jack Marshman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Marshman 18%82% Cedenblad
STRONGMarket: 31% (-13.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -275(favors Cedenblad)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Cedenblad)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Cedenblad)
FlyweightHIT
Kyoji Horiguchi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Horiguchi 68%32% Bagautinov
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+3.0% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +22(favors Horiguchi)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Horiguchi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Bagautinov)
LightweightHIT
Kevin Lee won by Submission (R2)
Lee 77%23% Mustafaev
STRONGMarket: 53% (+24.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +86(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Lee)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Amanda Cooper won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cooper 49%51% Elmose
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (-3.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -4(favors Elmose)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Elmose)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Elmose)
HeavyweightHIT
Justin Ledet won by Submission (R1)
Ledet 73%27% Godbeer
CONFIDENTMarket: 57% (+16.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +85(favors Ledet)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.5(favors Ledet)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Godbeer)
WelterweightHIT
Zak Cummings won by Submission (R2)
Cummings 60%40% Yakovlev
LEANMarket: 61% (-0.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +33(favors Cummings)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Cummings)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Cummings)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Marion Reneau won by KO/TKO (R3)
Reneau 62%38% Dudieva
LEANMarket: 66% (-4.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +29(favors Reneau)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Reneau)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Dudieva)
BantamweightHIT
Brett Johns won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johns 75%25% Kwak
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+8.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kwak)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kwak)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kwak)
WelterweightHIT
Abdul Razak Alhassan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alhassan 79%21% Ward
STRONGMarket: 74% (+5.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ward)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ward)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ward)