UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
Saturday, November 19, 2016·Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom·13 fights
Model: 11/13(85%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✓✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓
Main Card
MiddleweightHIT
Gegard Mousasi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mousasi 78%22% Hall
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
STRONG
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +388(favors Mousasi)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Mousasi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Mousasi)
LightweightHIT
Stevie Ray won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ray 73%27% Pearson
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENTMarket: 50% (+22.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +3(favors Ray)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Pearson)
HeavyweightHIT
Alexander Volkov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Volkov 51%49% Johnson
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+8.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -165(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Johnson)
FeatherweightMISS
Artem Lobov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lobov 22%78% Ishihara
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONGMarket: 31% (-9.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -336(favors Ishihara)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Ishihara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ishihara)
MiddleweightMISS
Jack Marshman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Marshman 20%80% Cedenblad
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
STRONGMarket: 31% (-11.4% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -368(favors Cedenblad)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Cedenblad)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Cedenblad)
FlyweightHIT
Kyoji Horiguchi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Horiguchi 70%30% Bagautinov
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+5.1% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Bagautinov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Horiguchi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Bagautinov)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Kevin Lee won by Submission (R2)
Lee 78%22% Mustafaev
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONGMarket: 53% (+24.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +37(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Lee)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Amanda Cooper won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cooper 67%33% Elmose
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENTMarket: 52% (+14.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -15(favors Elmose)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Elmose)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Elmose)
HeavyweightHIT
Justin Ledet won by Submission (R1)
Ledet 75%25% Godbeer
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
STRONGMarket: 57% (+18.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +128(favors Ledet)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.5(favors Ledet)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Godbeer)
WelterweightHIT
Zak Cummings won by Submission (R2)
Cummings 62%38% Yakovlev
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 61% (+1.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -55(favors Yakovlev)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Cummings)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Cummings)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Marion Reneau won by KO/TKO (R3)
Reneau 73%27% Dudieva
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+6.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +2(favors Reneau)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Reneau)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Dudieva)
BantamweightHIT
Brett Johns won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johns 70%30% Kwak
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+3.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kwak)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kwak)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kwak)
WelterweightHIT
Abdul Razak Alhassan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alhassan 79%21% Ward
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+4.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ward)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ward)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ward)