UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Saturday, September 24, 2016·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil·13 fights
Model: 7/13(54%)
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Main Card
Catch WeightHIT
Cristiane Justino won by KO/TKO (R2)
Justino 93%7% Lansberg
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
STRONGMarket: 90% (+3.6% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +180(favors Justino)
→Striking volume advantage: +19.3(favors Justino)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lansberg)
FeatherweightHIT
Renan Barao won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barao 90%10% Nover
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 80% (+9.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +580(favors Barao)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Barao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Nover)
HeavyweightHIT
Roy Nelson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Nelson 89%11% Silva
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
STRONGMarket: 80% (+9.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +162(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Nelson)
LightweightHIT
Francisco Trinaldo won by KO/TKO (R3)
Trinaldo 60%40% Felder
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 53% (+7.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +253(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Trinaldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Trinaldo)
MiddleweightMISS
Eric Spicely won by Submission (R1)
Spicely 21%79% Santos
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
STRONGMarket: 16% (+4.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -408(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Santos)
FeatherweightMISS
Godofredo Pepey won by Submission (R1)
Pepey 40%60% Torre
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 54% (-14.1% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +21(favors Pepey)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Torre)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Torre)
Prelims
LightweightMISS
Michel Prazeres won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Prazeres 46%54% Burns
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UPMarket: 32% (+13.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Burns)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Prazeres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Prazeres)
BantamweightHIT
Rani Yahya won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yahya 51%49% Tanaka
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UPMarket: 53% (-1.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +176(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Tanaka)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Yahya)
FlyweightHIT
Jussier Formiga won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Formiga 52%48% Ortiz
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UPMarket: 63% (-11.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +88(favors Formiga)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Ortiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Ortiz)
WelterweightMISS
Erick Silva won by Submission (R3)
Silva 45%55% Chagas
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UPMarket: 45% (+0.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +60(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Chagas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Silva)
LightweightMISS
Alan Patrick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Patrick 48%52% Ray
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UPMarket: 40% (+8.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -90(favors Ray)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Ray)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Patrick)
WelterweightHIT
Vicente Luque won by KO/TKO (R1)
Luque 92%8% Urbina
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONGMarket: 81% (+10.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +304(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Luque)
LightweightMISS
Gregor Gillespie won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gillespie 33%67% Moreira
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -126(favors Moreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Moreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Moreira)