The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
Friday, July 8, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·12 fights
Model: 8/12(67%)
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Main Card
Women's StrawweightHIT
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jedrzejczyk 64%36% Gadelha
Over/UnderOver 66%
Under 34%Over 66%
LEANMarket: 53% (+11.0% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +355(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.3(favors Gadelha)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Andrew Sanchez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sanchez 40%60% Jr.
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jr.)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jr.)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Tatiana Suarez won by Submission (R1)
Suarez 86%14% Cooper
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+9.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cooper)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cooper)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cooper)
LightweightHIT
Will Brooks won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brooks 85%15% Pearson
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+8.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -270(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Pearson)
FeatherweightHIT
Dooho Choi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Choi 67%33% Tavares
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +59(favors Choi)
→Striking volume advantage: +12.3(favors Choi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.7(favors Tavares)
LightweightHIT
Joaquim Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 67%33% Holbrook
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENTMarket: 53% (+13.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -21(favors Holbrook)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Holbrook)
Prelims
FeatherweightMISS
Gray Maynard won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maynard 48%52% Bruno
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-12.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +319(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Maynard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Bruno)
FlyweightHIT
Matheus Nicolau won by Decision - Split (R3)
Nicolau 63%37% Moraga
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 40% (+22.3% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -55(favors Moraga)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Nicolau)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Nicolau)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Josh Stansbury won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Stansbury 44%56% Hendricks
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEANMarket: 56% (-12.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Hendricks)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hendricks)
MiddleweightHIT
Cezar Ferreira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ferreira 59%41% Smith
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEANMarket: 44% (+14.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Ferreira)
LightweightMISS
Kevin Lee won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lee 45%55% Matthews
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 44% (+1.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -114(favors Matthews)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Lee)
WelterweightHIT
Li Jingliang won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jingliang 79%21% Zafir
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+4.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -10(favors Zafir)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Jingliang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Zafir)