UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Saturday, April 16, 2016·Tampa, Florida, USA·11 fights
Model: 6/11(55%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Glover Teixeira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Teixeira 62%38% Evans
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEANMarket: 65% (-3.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +47(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Teixeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Teixeira)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Rose Namajunas won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Namajunas 62%38% Pennington
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEANMarket: 62% (-0.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +47(favors Namajunas)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Pennington)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Namajunas)
Catch WeightHIT
Khabib Nurmagomedov won by KO/TKO (R2)
Nurmagomedov 89%11% Horcher
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONGMarket: 88% (+0.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +624(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.8(favors Nurmagomedov)
FeatherweightHIT
Cub Swanson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Swanson 52%48% Dias
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (+0.5% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +111(favors Swanson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Swanson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Dias)
LightweightMISS
Michael Chiesa won by Submission (R2)
Chiesa 49%51% Dariush
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+9.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -163(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Dariush)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Chiesa)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Raquel Pennington won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pennington 67%33% Correia
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+0.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -87(favors Correia)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Correia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Pennington)
Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Santiago Ponzinibbio won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ponzinibbio 45%55% McGee
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 59% (-14.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -63(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors McGee)
WelterweightMISS
Michael Graves won by Submission (R2)
Graves 41%59% Brown
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEANMarket: 55% (-14.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -4(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors Graves)
BantamweightHIT
John Dodson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dodson 65%35% Gamburyan
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +218(favors Dodson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Dodson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Gamburyan)
MiddleweightMISS
Cezar Ferreira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ferreira 40%60% Bamgbose
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
LEANMarket: 35% (+5.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -201(favors Bamgbose)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Bamgbose)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Ferreira)
WelterweightMISS
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won by KO/TKO (R3)
Santos 45%55% Akhmedov
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 44% (+0.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -381(favors Akhmedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Akhmedov)