UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
Saturday, February 27, 2016·London, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 11/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightMISS
Michael Bisping won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Bisping 30%70% Silva
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (+0.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -129(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
MiddleweightHIT
Gegard Mousasi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mousasi 71%29% Leites
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-2.7% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -204(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Mousasi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Mousasi)
WelterweightHIT
Tom Breese won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Breese 86%14% Nakamura
STRONGMarket: 89% (-3.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +266(favors Breese)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Breese)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Nakamura)
BantamweightMISS
Brad Pickett won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pickett 29%71% Rivera
CONFIDENTMarket: 39% (-10.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -226(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Pickett)
FeatherweightHIT
Makwan Amirkhani won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Amirkhani 71%29% Wilkinson
CONFIDENTMarket: 62% (+9.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -18(favors Wilkinson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Wilkinson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.6(favors Amirkhani)
BantamweightHIT
Davey Grant won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Grant 50%50% Vera
TOSS-UPMarket: 63% (-12.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -147(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Grant)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Vera)
MiddleweightHIT
Scott Askham won by KO/TKO (R1)
Askham 79%21% Dempsey
STRONGMarket: 76% (+2.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +107(favors Askham)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Dempsey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Dempsey)
FeatherweightHIT
Arnold Allen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Allen 77%23% Meza
STRONGMarket: 75% (+2.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +145(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Allen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Meza)
MiddleweightHIT
Krzysztof Jotko won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jotko 69%31% Scott
CONFIDENTMarket: 60% (+9.1% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Jotko)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Scott)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Jotko)
LightweightHIT
Rustam Khabilov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Khabilov 74%26% Parke
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+5.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -2(favors Parke)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Parke)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Khabilov)
HeavyweightHIT
Daniel Omielanczuk won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Omielanczuk 58%42% Danho
LEANMarket: 53% (+4.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +81(favors Omielanczuk)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Omielanczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Omielanczuk)
LightweightHIT
Teemu Packalen won by Submission (R1)
Packalen 55%45% Gouti
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+8.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -96(favors Gouti)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Packalen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Packalen)
LightweightHIT
David Teymur won by KO/TKO (R2)
Teymur 62%38% Svensson
LEANMarket: 62% (-0.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Svensson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Svensson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Svensson)