UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Saturday, October 24, 2015·Dublin, Leinster, Ireland·10 fights
Model: 9/9(100%)
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Main Card
FlyweightHIT
Louis Smolka won by Submission (R2)
Smolka 65%35% Holohan
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 62% (+2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +203(favors Smolka)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Smolka)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Holohan)
LightweightHIT
Norman Parke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parke 78%22% Madadi
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 67% (+10.5% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -123(favors Madadi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Madadi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Madadi)
Welterweight
Dalby 44%56% Till
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEANMarket: 49% (-5.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +20(favors Dalby)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Till)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors Dalby)
FlyweightHIT
Neil Seery won by Submission (R2)
Seery 66%34% Reyes
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENTMarket: 54% (+12.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +151(favors Seery)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Reyes)
LightweightHIT
Stevie Ray won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ray 87%13% Lebout
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
STRONGMarket: 81% (+5.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +100(favors Ray)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Ray)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lebout)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Aisling Daly won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Daly 67%33% Almeida
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENTMarket: 50% (+16.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +67(favors Daly)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Daly)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Daly)
Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Krzysztof Jotko won by Decision - Split (R3)
Jotko 56%44% Askham
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEANMarket: 44% (+12.3% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +10(favors Jotko)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Askham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Jotko)
WelterweightHIT
Tom Breese won by KO/TKO (R1)
Breese 63%37% Pendred
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 72% (-8.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -69(favors Pendred)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Breese)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Pendred)
FeatherweightHIT
Darren Elkins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elkins 56%44% Whiteford
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEANMarket: 58% (-2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +81(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Elkins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Whiteford)
MiddleweightHIT
Garreth McLellan won by KO/TKO (R3)
McLellan 58%42% Bush
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
LEANMarket: 26% (+31.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -128(favors Bush)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Bush)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bush)