UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Sunday, August 23, 2015·Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada·12 fights
Model: 9/12(75%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Max Holloway won by KO/TKO (R1)
Holloway 73%27% Oliveira
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+5.4% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +74(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Oliveira)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by Decision - Split (R3)
Magny 73%27% Silva
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENTMarket: 38% (+35.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +47(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Magny)
WelterweightHIT
Patrick Cote won by KO/TKO (R3)
Cote 62%38% Burkman
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +212(favors Cote)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Cote)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Cote)
LightweightMISS
Francisco Trinaldo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Trinaldo 36%64% Laprise
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 22% (+13.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -84(favors Laprise)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Laprise)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Laprise)
LightweightHIT
Olivier Aubin-Mercier won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Aubin-Mercier 75%25% Sims
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+8.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -35(favors Sims)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Sims)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Aubin-Mercier)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Valerie Letourneau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Letourneau 59%41% Moroz
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 33% (+26.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -82(favors Moroz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Moroz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Letourneau)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Frankie Perez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perez 56%44% Stout
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 55% (+0.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -123(favors Stout)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Perez)
BantamweightHIT
Felipe Arantes won by Submission (R1)
Arantes 75%25% Jabouin
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+7.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +53(favors Arantes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Jabouin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Jabouin)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Nikita Krylov won by Submission (R1)
Krylov 50%50% Lima
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+11.6% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -126(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.1(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lima)
FlyweightMISS
Chris Kelades won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kelades 44%56% Beal
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
LEANMarket: 40% (+3.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -72(favors Beal)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Beal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Beal)
LightweightMISS
Shane Campbell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Campbell 43%57% Silverio
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEANMarket: 31% (+12.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -236(favors Silverio)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Campbell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Silverio)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Misha Cirkunov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cirkunov 88%12% Jolly
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
STRONGMarket: 79% (+8.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Jolly)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jolly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jolly)