UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
Saturday, August 8, 2015·Nashville, Tennessee, USA·13 fights
Model: 10/13(77%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✗✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✗✓✓
Main Card
Light HeavyweightMISS
Glover Teixeira won by Submission (R3)
Teixeira 39%61% Preux
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -36(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Teixeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Preux)
LightweightMISS
Beneil Dariush won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dariush 48%52% Johnson
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UPMarket: 40% (+7.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -63(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Dariush)
MiddleweightHIT
Derek Brunson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Brunson 85%15% Alvey
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
STRONGMarket: 78% (+6.2% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Alvey)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Alvey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Brunson)
HeavyweightHIT
Jared Rosholt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosholt 76%24% Johnson
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
STRONGMarket: 70% (+5.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -11(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Johnson)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Amanda Nunes won by Submission (R1)
Nunes 54%46% McMann
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UPMarket: 30% (+24.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +189(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Nunes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors McMann)
FlyweightHIT
Ray Borg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Borg 83%17% Herrera
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 80% (+3.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +316(favors Borg)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Borg)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Borg)
Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Uriah Hall won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hall 75%25% Bamgbose
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+1.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +241(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Hall)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Hall)
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Camozzi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Camozzi 68%32% Watson
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENTMarket: 57% (+10.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -127(favors Watson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Watson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Watson)
FlyweightHIT
Dustin Ortiz won by KO/TKO (R3)
Ortiz 82%18% Gates
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 79% (+2.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +120(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Ortiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Ortiz)
BantamweightHIT
Frankie Saenz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Saenz 63%37% Kakai
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEANMarket: 49% (+13.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +285(favors Saenz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Saenz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Kakai)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jonathan Wilson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Wilson 46%54% Dempsey
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
TOSS-UPMarket: 59% (-12.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -4(favors Dempsey)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Dempsey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Dempsey)
BantamweightHIT
Marlon Vera won by Submission (R2)
Vera 58%42% Salazar
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEANMarket: 54% (+3.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -83(favors Salazar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Salazar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Salazar)
LightweightHIT
Scott Holtzman won by Submission (R3)
Holtzman 88%12% Christodoulou
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
STRONGMarket: 88% (+0.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +102(favors Holtzman)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Christodoulou)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Christodoulou)