UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne
Saturday, June 20, 2015·Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Model Record: 5/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's StrawweightHIT
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won by KO/TKO (R3)
Jedrzejczyk 85%15% Penne
STRONGMarket: 86% (-1.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +197(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Penne)
FeatherweightMISS
Tatsuya Kawajiri won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kawajiri 35%65% Siver
LEANMarket: 39% (-3.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -189(favors Siver)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Siver)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Kawajiri)
WelterweightHIT
Peter Sobotta won by Submission (R1)
Sobotta 58%42% Kennedy
LEAN
→Elo gap: -59(favors Kennedy)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Sobotta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Sobotta)
LightweightMISS
Nick Hein won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hein 46%54% Sajewski
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-13.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +8(favors Hein)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Hein)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Hein)
FeatherweightHIT
Makwan Amirkhani won by Submission (R1)
Amirkhani 68%32% Fullen
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (-0.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -12(favors Fullen)
→Striking volume advantage: +42.3(favors Amirkhani)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Fullen)
LightweightHIT
Mairbek Taisumov won by KO/TKO (R2)
Taisumov 67%33% Patrick
CONFIDENTMarket: 60% (+7.1% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -42(favors Patrick)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Patrick)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Taisumov)
FeatherweightMISS
Arnold Allen won by Submission (R3)
Allen 46%54% Omer
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+8.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +68(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Omer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Omer)
FeatherweightMISS
Noad Lahat won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Lahat 24%76% Backstrom
STRONGMarket: 33% (-8.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -40(favors Backstrom)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Backstrom)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Lahat)
MiddleweightHIT
Scott Askham won by KO/TKO (R1)
Askham 69%31% Santos
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +109(favors Askham)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
LightweightMISS
Magomed Mustafaev won by KO/TKO (R2)
Mustafaev 38%62% Hallmann
LEANMarket: 52% (-13.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -93(favors Hallmann)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Hallmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Hallmann)
BantamweightMISS
Taylor Lapilus won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lapilus 45%55% Sasaki
LEANMarket: 28% (+16.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +113(favors Lapilus)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Lapilus)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Lapilus)