UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
Saturday, May 16, 2015·Manila, Philippines
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightHIT
Frankie Edgar won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Edgar 89%11% Faber
STRONGMarket: 81% (+8.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +219(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Faber)
MiddleweightHIT
Gegard Mousasi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mousasi 72%28% Philippou
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +156(favors Mousasi)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Mousasi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Philippou)
MiddleweightHIT
Mark Munoz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Munoz 64%36% Barnatt
LEANMarket: 42% (+21.3% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -95(favors Barnatt)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Barnatt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Munoz)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by KO/TKO (R2)
Magny 73%27% Lim
CONFIDENTMarket: 53% (+19.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +204(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Lim)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Magny)
FeatherweightMISS
Phillipe Nover won by Decision - Split (R3)
Nover 49%51% Nam
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+10.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -356(favors Nam)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Nam)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Nam)
FeatherweightHIT
Levan Makashvili won by Decision - Split (R3)
Makashvili 85%15% Eddiva
STRONGMarket: 78% (+7.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +39(favors Makashvili)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Eddiva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Eddiva)
LightweightHIT
Jon Tuck won by Submission (R1)
Tuck 68%32% Bang
CONFIDENTMarket: 58% (+10.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -63(favors Bang)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Tuck)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Tuck)
LightweightMISS
Kajan Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 46%54% Lipeng
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (-5.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -203(favors Lipeng)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Johnson)
WelterweightMISS
Li Jingliang won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jingliang 48%52% Lima
TOSS-UPMarket: 41% (+7.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +114(favors Jingliang)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Lima)
BantamweightMISS
Guangyou Ning won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ning 38%62% Wee
LEAN
→Elo gap: -52(favors Wee)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Ning)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Wee)
FlyweightHIT
Jon Delos Reyes won by Submission (R2)
Reyes 51%49% Sangcha'an
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -51(favors Sangcha'an)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Reyes)
FlyweightHIT
Yao Zhikui won by Decision - Split (R3)
Zhikui 64%36% Ticman
LEAN
→Elo gap: +33(favors Zhikui)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Zhikui)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ticman)