UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Saturday, January 3, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jon Jones won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jones 78%22% Cormier
STRONGMarket: 60% (+17.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +452(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Cormier)
LightweightHIT
Donald Cerrone won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cerrone 53%47% Jury
TOSS-UPMarket: 64% (-10.4% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +144(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Jury)
MiddleweightHIT
Brad Tavares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tavares 60%40% Marquardt
LEANMarket: 45% (+14.9% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -144(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Marquardt)
FlyweightHIT
Kyoji Horiguchi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Horiguchi 89%11% Gaudinot
STRONGMarket: 85% (+4.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +241(favors Horiguchi)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Horiguchi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Horiguchi)
Welterweight
Lombard 45%55% Burkman
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +221(favors Lombard)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Burkman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Burkman)
LightweightMISS
Paul Felder won by KO/TKO (R2)
Felder 27%73% Castillo
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (-6.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -70(favors Castillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Felder)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Castillo)
BantamweightHIT
Cody Garbrandt won by KO/TKO (R3)
Garbrandt 53%47% Brimage
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+16.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -39(favors Brimage)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Brimage)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Brimage)
HeavyweightHIT
Shawn Jordan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jordan 72%28% Cannonier
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+5.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +67(favors Jordan)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Jordan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Jordan)
LightweightHIT
Evan Dunham won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dunham 88%12% Damm
STRONGMarket: 82% (+5.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +159(favors Dunham)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Dunham)
WelterweightHIT
Omari Akhmedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Akhmedov 80%20% Nilsson
STRONGMarket: 60% (+19.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +97(favors Akhmedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Nilsson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Akhmedov)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Marion Reneau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Reneau 29%71% Dufresne
CONFIDENTMarket: 37% (-7.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +85(favors Reneau)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Dufresne)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Dufresne)