UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Saturday, September 13, 2014·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Andrei Arlovski won by KO/TKO (R1)
Arlovski 66%34% Silva
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +161(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Arlovski)
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by Decision - Split (R3)
Tibau 52%48% Hallmann
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +29(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Hallmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Hallmann)
LightweightHIT
Leonardo Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 56%44% Escudero
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +187(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Escudero)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Santos)
WelterweightMISS
Santiago Ponzinibbio won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ponzinibbio 45%55% Marques
LEAN
→Elo gap: -58(favors Marques)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Marques)
BantamweightMISS
Iuri Alcantara won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Alcantara 45%55% Doane
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +80(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Doane)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Doane)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Jessica Andrade won by Submission (R1)
Andrade 71%29% Pacheco
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +33(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.2(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Andrade)
FeatherweightHIT
Godofredo Pepey won by Submission (R1)
Pepey 60%40% Johnson
LEAN
→Elo gap: +71(favors Pepey)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Pepey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Pepey)
WelterweightHIT
George Sullivan won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sullivan 58%42% Araujo
LEAN
→Elo gap: -93(favors Araujo)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Sullivan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Sullivan)
LightweightHIT
Francisco Trinaldo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Trinaldo 56%44% Silva
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +77(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Trinaldo)
WelterweightHIT
Sean Spencer won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Spencer 62%38% Thiago
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +137(favors Spencer)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Spencer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Thiago)
BantamweightHIT
Rani Yahya won by Submission (R2)
Yahya 62%38% Bedford
LEAN
→Elo gap: +142(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Bedford)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Yahya)