UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Saturday, July 19, 2014·Dublin, Leinster, Ireland·10 fights
Model: 9/10(90%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Conor McGregor won by KO/TKO (R1)
McGregor 76%24% Brandao
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONG
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +250(favors McGregor)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors McGregor)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors McGregor)
WelterweightHIT
Gunnar Nelson won by Submission (R2)
Nelson 65%35% Cummings
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +103(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Nelson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Cummings)
FlyweightHIT
Ian McCall won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McCall 51%49% Pickett
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -251(favors Pickett)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors McCall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Pickett)
LightweightHIT
Norman Parke won by KO/TKO (R2)
Parke 73%27% Kotani
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +631(favors Parke)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Parke)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Parke)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ilir Latifi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Latifi 54%46% Dempsey
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +103(favors Latifi)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Latifi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Latifi)
FlyweightMISS
Neil Seery won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Seery 46%54% Harris
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +18(favors Seery)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Seery)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Harris)
Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Cathal Pendred won by Submission (R2)
Pendred 62%38% King
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors King)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors King)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors King)
MiddleweightHIT
Trevor Smith won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Smith 66%34% Troeng
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -19(favors Troeng)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Smith)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Nikita Krylov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Krylov 75%25% Donovan
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +248(favors Krylov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Donovan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Donovan)
FlyweightHIT
Paddy Holohan won by Submission (R1)
Holohan 55%45% Sampo
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -12(favors Sampo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Sampo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Sampo)