UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Saturday, July 19, 2014·Dublin, Leinster, Ireland
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightHIT
Conor McGregor won by KO/TKO (R1)
McGregor 71%29% Brandao
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +148(favors McGregor)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors McGregor)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors McGregor)
WelterweightHIT
Gunnar Nelson won by Submission (R2)
Nelson 64%36% Cummings
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +52(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Nelson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Cummings)
FlyweightMISS
Ian McCall won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McCall 47%53% Pickett
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -170(favors Pickett)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors McCall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Pickett)
LightweightHIT
Norman Parke won by KO/TKO (R2)
Parke 75%25% Kotani
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +435(favors Parke)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Parke)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Parke)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Ilir Latifi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Latifi 50%50% Dempsey
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +51(favors Latifi)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Latifi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Latifi)
FlyweightMISS
Neil Seery won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Seery 45%55% Harris
LEAN
→Elo gap: +13(favors Seery)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Seery)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Harris)
MiddleweightHIT
Cathal Pendred won by Submission (R2)
Pendred 56%44% King
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors King)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors King)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors King)
MiddleweightHIT
Trevor Smith won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Smith 66%34% Troeng
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -27(favors Troeng)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Smith)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Nikita Krylov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Krylov 67%33% Donovan
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +128(favors Krylov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Donovan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Donovan)
FlyweightHIT
Paddy Holohan won by Submission (R1)
Holohan 53%47% Sampo
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -17(favors Sampo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Sampo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Sampo)