The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Sunday, July 6, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 6/10(60%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Frankie Edgar won by KO/TKO (R3)
Edgar 77%23% Penn
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +144(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Edgar)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Corey Anderson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Anderson 62%38% Buren
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Buren)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Buren)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Buren)
MiddleweightMISS
Eddie Gordon won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gordon 42%58% Lima
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lima)
HeavyweightHIT
Derrick Lewis won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lewis 84%16% Inocente
Over/UnderUnder 65%
Under 65%Over 35%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +191(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.0(favors Lewis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Lewis)
FlyweightMISS
Dustin Ortiz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ortiz 28%72% Scoggins
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Scoggins)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Scoggins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Scoggins)
LightweightHIT
Kevin Lee won by Decision - Split (R3)
Lee 71%29% Ronson
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +113(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Ronson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Lee)
Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Leandro Issa won by Submission (R3)
Issa 65%35% Tuerxun
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -38(favors Tuerxun)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Issa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Issa)
LightweightHIT
Adriano Martins won by KO/TKO (R1)
Martins 71%29% Puig
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +168(favors Martins)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Martins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Martins)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Patrick Walsh won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Walsh 41%59% Spohn
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Spohn)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Spohn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Spohn)
Catch WeightMISS
Sarah Moras won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moras 41%59% Dufresne
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Dufresne)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Dufresne)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Dufresne)
Light Heavyweight
Drysdale 50%50% Berish
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +128(favors Drysdale)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Berish)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Berish)