The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Sunday, July 6, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightHIT
Frankie Edgar won by KO/TKO (R3)
Edgar 70%30% Penn
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +79(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Edgar)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Corey Anderson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Anderson 50%50% Buren
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Buren)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Buren)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Buren)
MiddleweightMISS
Eddie Gordon won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gordon 41%59% Lima
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lima)
HeavyweightHIT
Derrick Lewis won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lewis 84%16% Inocente
STRONG
→Elo gap: +128(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.0(favors Lewis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Lewis)
FlyweightMISS
Dustin Ortiz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ortiz 33%67% Scoggins
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -50(favors Scoggins)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Scoggins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Scoggins)
LightweightHIT
Kevin Lee won by Decision - Split (R3)
Lee 71%29% Ronson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +71(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Ronson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Lee)
BantamweightHIT
Leandro Issa won by Submission (R3)
Issa 56%44% Tuerxun
LEAN
→Elo gap: -26(favors Tuerxun)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Issa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Issa)
LightweightHIT
Adriano Martins won by KO/TKO (R1)
Martins 76%24% Puig
STRONG
→Elo gap: +101(favors Martins)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Martins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Martins)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Patrick Walsh won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Walsh 49%51% Spohn
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Spohn)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Spohn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Spohn)
Catch WeightMISS
Sarah Moras won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moras 46%54% Dufresne
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Dufresne)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Dufresne)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Dufresne)
Light Heavyweight
Drysdale 50%50% Berish
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +85(favors Drysdale)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Berish)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Berish)