UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
Saturday, June 28, 2014·Auckland, New Zealand·10 fights
Model: 8/10(80%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightHIT
Nate Marquardt won by Submission (R1)
Marquardt 60%40% Huna
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +102(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Huna)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Marquardt)
HeavyweightHIT
Jared Rosholt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosholt 69%31% Palelei
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -81(favors Palelei)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Palelei)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Palelei)
FeatherweightHIT
Charles Oliveira won by Submission (R2)
Oliveira 60%40% Hioki
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Oliveira)
WelterweightHIT
Robert Whittaker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Whittaker 67%33% Rhodes
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +178(favors Whittaker)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Rhodes)
LightweightHIT
Jake Matthews won by Submission (R3)
Matthews 57%43% Johnson
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Johnson)
FlyweightMISS
Richie Vaculik won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vaculik 46%54% Sangcha'an
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -191(favors Sangcha'an)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Vaculik)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sangcha'an)
Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Vik Grujic won by KO/TKO (R1)
Grujic 46%54% Indich
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Indich)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Indich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Indich)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by KO/TKO (R2)
Magny 74%26% Lima
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +129(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Magny)
FeatherweightHIT
Dan Hooker won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hooker 55%45% Entwistle
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Entwistle)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Entwistle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Entwistle)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Gian Villante won by Decision - Split (R3)
Villante 69%31% O'Connell
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +86(favors Villante)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors O'Connell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Villante)