UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado
Saturday, May 31, 2014·Sao Paulo, Brazil
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Stipe Miocic won by KO/TKO (R1)
Miocic 68%32% Maldonado
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +285(favors Miocic)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Maldonado)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Miocic)
HeavyweightHIT
Antonio Carlos Junior won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Junior 65%35% Miranda
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Miranda)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Miranda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Miranda)
MiddleweightHIT
Warlley Alves won by Submission (R3)
Alves 51%49% Junior
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Junior)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Junior)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Junior)
WelterweightHIT
Demian Maia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maia 64%36% Yakovlev
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +358(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Maia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Maia)
FeatherweightMISS
Robert Peralta won by Decision - Split (R3)
Peralta 47%53% Jason
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -135(favors Jason)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Peralta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Peralta)
LightweightHIT
Rashid Magomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magomedov 61%39% Damm
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Damm)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Damm)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Damm)
LightweightHIT
Elias Silverio won by Submission (R3)
Silverio 70%30% Chavez
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +96(favors Silverio)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Silverio)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Silverio)
WelterweightMISS
Gasan Umalatov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Umalatov 50%50% Thiago
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -77(favors Thiago)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Umalatov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Thiago)
FeatherweightHIT
Edimilson Souza won by KO/TKO (R2)
Souza 51%49% Eddiva
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +9(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Souza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Eddiva)
MiddleweightMISS
Ricardo Abreu won by Submission (R2)
Abreu 41%59% Silva
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
HeavyweightMISS
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lima 49%51% Moreira
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Moreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Moreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Moreira)
BantamweightMISS
Pedro Munhoz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Munhoz 41%59% Hobar
LEAN
→Elo gap: -17(favors Hobar)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hobar)