UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado
Saturday, May 31, 2014·Sao Paulo, Brazil·12 fights
Model: 7/12(58%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Stipe Miocic won by KO/TKO (R1)
Miocic 73%27% Maldonado
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +326(favors Miocic)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Maldonado)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Miocic)
HeavyweightHIT
Antonio Carlos Junior won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Junior 65%35% Miranda
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Miranda)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Miranda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Miranda)
MiddleweightMISS
Warlley Alves won by Submission (R3)
Alves 46%54% Junior
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Junior)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Junior)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Junior)
WelterweightHIT
Demian Maia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maia 60%40% Yakovlev
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +471(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Maia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Maia)
FeatherweightHIT
Robert Peralta won by Decision - Split (R3)
Peralta 57%43% Jason
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -117(favors Jason)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Peralta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Peralta)
LightweightHIT
Rashid Magomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magomedov 67%33% Damm
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -87(favors Damm)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Damm)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Damm)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Elias Silverio won by Submission (R3)
Silverio 74%26% Chavez
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +149(favors Silverio)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Silverio)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Silverio)
WelterweightMISS
Gasan Umalatov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Umalatov 45%55% Thiago
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -234(favors Thiago)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Umalatov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Thiago)
FeatherweightHIT
Edimilson Souza won by KO/TKO (R2)
Souza 60%40% Eddiva
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +31(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Souza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Eddiva)
MiddleweightMISS
Ricardo Abreu won by Submission (R2)
Abreu 40%60% Silva
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
HeavyweightMISS
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lima 50%50% Moreira
Over/UnderUnder 65%
Under 65%Over 35%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Moreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Moreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Moreira)
BantamweightMISS
Pedro Munhoz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Munhoz 46%54% Hobar
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -12(favors Hobar)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hobar)