UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Saturday, May 10, 2014·Cincinnati, Ohio, USA·13 fights
Model: 12/13(92%)
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Main Card
WelterweightHIT
Matt Brown won by KO/TKO (R3)
Brown 70%30% Silva
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +210(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Brown)
MiddleweightHIT
Constantinos Philippou won by KO/TKO (R1)
Philippou 58%42% Larkin
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +153(favors Philippou)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Larkin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Larkin)
LightweightHIT
Daron Cruickshank won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cruickshank 53%47% Koch
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -42(favors Koch)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Cruickshank)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Cruickshank)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 63%37% Means
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +12(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Magny)
HeavyweightHIT
Soa Palelei won by KO/TKO (R1)
Palelei 64%36% Potts
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +302(favors Palelei)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Palelei)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Palelei)
FlyweightHIT
Chris Cariaso won by Decision - Split (R3)
Cariaso 64%36% Smolka
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -57(favors Smolka)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Smolka)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Cariaso)
Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Ed Herman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Herman 57%43% Natal
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +260(favors Herman)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Natal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Natal)
FlyweightHIT
Kyoji Horiguchi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Horiguchi 78%22% Montague
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +196(favors Horiguchi)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Horiguchi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Horiguchi)
WelterweightHIT
Zak Cummings won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cummings 65%35% Cabral
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +28(favors Cummings)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cabral)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Cummings)
BantamweightMISS
Johnny Eduardo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Eduardo 43%57% Wineland
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -377(favors Wineland)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Wineland)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Wineland)
FeatherweightHIT
Nik Lentz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lentz 70%30% Gamburyan
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +310(favors Lentz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Lentz)
LightweightHIT
Justin Salas won by KO/TKO (R1)
Salas 76%24% Wall
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +133(favors Salas)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Salas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Salas)
WelterweightHIT
Albert Tumenov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tumenov 60%40% Lapsley
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -10(favors Lapsley)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Tumenov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Tumenov)