UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa
Saturday, March 8, 2014·London, England, United Kingdom·9 fights
Model: 7/8(88%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alexander Gustafsson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gustafsson 68%32% Manuwa
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +202(favors Gustafsson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Manuwa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Manuwa)
LightweightHIT
Michael Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 54%46% Guillard
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +106(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Johnson)
FlyweightHIT
Brad Pickett won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pickett 63%37% Seery
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +172(favors Pickett)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Pickett)
WelterweightHIT
Gunnar Nelson won by Submission (R1)
Nelson 67%33% Akhmedov
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -124(favors Akhmedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Akhmedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Akhmedov)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ilir Latifi won by Submission (R1)
Latifi 59%41% Diabate
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -144(favors Diabate)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Diabate)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Diabate)
MiddleweightHIT
Luke Barnatt won by KO/TKO (R1)
Barnatt 81%19% Nilsson
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +374(favors Barnatt)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.8(favors Barnatt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Barnatt)
Prelims
MiddleweightMISS
Claudio Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 43%57% Scott
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -79(favors Scott)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Scott)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Scott)
WelterweightHIT
Igor Araujo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Araujo 67%33% Mitchell
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +201(favors Araujo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Araujo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Araujo)
Flyweight
Harris 58%42% Gaudinot
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -75(favors Gaudinot)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Gaudinot)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Harris)