UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Saturday, February 15, 2014·Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil·12 fights
Model: 9/12(75%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightHIT
Lyoto Machida won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Machida 57%43% Mousasi
Over/UnderOver 68%
Under 32%Over 68%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +552(favors Machida)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Mousasi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Machida)
MiddleweightMISS
Jacare Souza won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Souza 43%57% Carmont
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +73(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Souza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Souza)
WelterweightHIT
Erick Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 67%33% Sato
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +258(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Silva)
WelterweightMISS
Nicholas Musoke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Musoke 41%59% Andrade
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +125(favors Musoke)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.8(favors Musoke)
FeatherweightHIT
Charles Oliveira won by Submission (R3)
Oliveira 54%46% Ogle
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +354(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Ogle)
LightweightHIT
Joe Proctor won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Proctor 52%48% Marcello
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +196(favors Proctor)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Marcello)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Marcello)
Prelims
LightweightMISS
Rodrigo Damm won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Damm 50%50% Jorge
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +64(favors Damm)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Jorge)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Jorge)
LightweightHIT
Francisco Trinaldo won by Decision - Split (R3)
Trinaldo 53%47% Ronson
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +234(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Trinaldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Trinaldo)
BantamweightHIT
Iuri Alcantara won by Decision - Split (R3)
Alcantara 58%42% Reis
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -49(favors Reis)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Alcantara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Reis)
FeatherweightHIT
Felipe Arantes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arantes 52%48% Blanco
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +36(favors Arantes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Arantes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Blanco)
WelterweightHIT
Ildemar Alcantara won by Decision - Split (R3)
Alcantara 52%48% Tumenov
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +28(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Alcantara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Alcantara)
FeatherweightHIT
Zubaira Tukhugov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tukhugov 54%46% Andrade
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Andrade)