UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
Saturday, December 14, 2013·Sacramento, California, USA·11 fights
Model: 9/11(82%)
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Main Card
FlyweightHIT
Demetrious Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 63%37% Benavidez
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Johnson)
BantamweightHIT
Urijah Faber won by Submission (R2)
Faber 50%50% McDonald
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -21(favors McDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Faber)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Faber)
FeatherweightHIT
Chad Mendes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mendes 69%31% Lentz
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +251(favors Mendes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Mendes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Lentz)
LightweightHIT
Joe Lauzon won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lauzon 57%43% Danzig
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +205(favors Lauzon)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Danzig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Danzig)
WelterweightHIT
Ryan LaFlare won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
LaFlare 71%29% McGee
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors LaFlare)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors LaFlare)
LightweightHIT
Edson Barboza won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Barboza 63%37% Castillo
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -7(favors Castillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Castillo)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
King Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 70%30% Healy
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +619(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Healy)
FlyweightMISS
Zach Makovsky won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Makovsky 50%50% Jorgensen
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +97(favors Makovsky)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Jorgensen)
LightweightMISS
Sam Stout won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stout 44%56% McKenzie
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +92(favors Stout)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors McKenzie)
LightweightHIT
Abel Trujillo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Trujillo 68%32% Bowling
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +236(favors Trujillo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Bowling)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Bowling)
FlyweightHIT
Alptekin Ozkilic won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ozkilic 51%49% Uyenoyama
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -7(favors Uyenoyama)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Uyenoyama)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Uyenoyama)